52-Week High Alert: Trading today’s movement in APACHE $APA

The automated Quantcha Trade Ideas Service has detected a promising Bull Put Spread trade opportunity for APACHE (APA) for the 28-Oct-2016 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

APA was recently trading at $63.00 and has an implied volatility of 33.90% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for APA expiring on 28-Oct-2016, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $62.84-$69.64 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 69.63%.

52 week high: APACHE recently reached a new 52-week high at $63.12. APA had traded in the range $32.20-$62.19 over the past year.

Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week high is a bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if APA maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $63.00 on 28-Oct-2016. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.

Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if APACHE closes at or above $62.66 on 28-Oct-2016. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 51.10% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 9/28/2016 3:26:58 PM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

Price Target Alert: Trading the Zacks price target change for NEWELL BRANDS INC $NWL

The automated Quantcha Trade Ideas Service has detected a promising Bull Put Spread trade opportunity for NEWELL BRANDS INC (NWL) for the 17-Mar-2017 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

NWL was recently trading at $52.31 and has an implied volatility of 23.49% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for NWL expiring on 17-Mar-2017, there is a 35.44% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $53.51-$65.41 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 82.15%.

Price target: Zacks Research has updated their six-month price target for NWL to $59.46. This price target is a consensus price created from the price targets published by 13 participating analysts whose targets ranged from $52.00 to $66.00.

Mean recommendation: Zacks normalizes analyst recommendations to a 1-5 scale where 1 indicates a strong buy. Their mean recommendation for NWL has been updated to 1.23, which indicates a strong buy consensus from analysts. Sentiment has moved from 1.21 to 1.22 to 1.23 over the past three months.

Trade approach: The difference between the current price for NWL and the mean price target is $7.69, which represents a 13.67% move (29.67% annualized). Since the 180-day implied volatility for NWL is 24.02%, a bullish strategy could prove effective if the price target ultimately turns out to be accurate.

Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if NEWELL BRANDS INC closed at or above $53.30 on 17-Mar-2017. Based on our analysis, there is a 45.06% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 9/28/2016 3:15:00 PM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

Price Target Alert: Trading the Zacks price target change for ELECTRONIC ARTS $EA

The automated Quantcha Trade Ideas Service has detected a promising Long Iron Condor trade opportunity for ELECTRONIC ARTS (EA) for the 17-Mar-2017 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

EA was recently trading at $84.86 and has an implied volatility of 29.22% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for EA expiring on 17-Mar-2017, there is a 38.47% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $78.60-$96.06 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 88.75%.

Price target: Zacks Research has updated their six-month price target for EA to $87.33. This price target is a consensus price created from the price targets published by 14 participating analysts whose targets ranged from $64.00 to $105.00.

Mean recommendation: Zacks normalizes analyst recommendations to a 1-5 scale where 1 indicates a strong buy. Their mean recommendation for EA has been updated to 1.47, which indicates a strong buy consensus from analysts. Sentiment has moved from 1.31 to 1.47 to 1.47 over the past three months.

Trade approach: The difference between the current price for EA and the mean price target is $2.64, which represents a 2.91% move (5.99% annualized). Since the 180-day implied volatility for EA is 29.17%, a neutral range-bound strategy could prove effective if the price target ultimately turns out to be accurate.

Upside potential: Using this neutral range-bound strategy, the trade would be profitable if ELECTRONIC ARTS closed in the range $78.55-$96.45 on 17-Mar-2017. Based on our analysis, there is a 39.25% likelihood of this return. The maximum return for this trade would be 111.27% if ELECTRONIC ARTS closed in the range $82.50-$92.50.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 9/28/2016 3:13:04 PM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

Price Target Alert: Trading the Zacks price target change for JOHNSON CONTROLS $JCI

The automated Quantcha Trade Ideas Service has detected a promising Bull Put Spread trade opportunity for JOHNSON CONTROLS (JCI) for the 21-Apr-2017 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

JCI was recently trading at $45.94 and has an implied volatility of 23.11% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for JCI expiring on 21-Apr-2017, there is a 35.73% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $46.28-$56.57 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 54.30%.

Price target: Zacks Research has updated their six-month price target for JCI to $51.42. This price target is a consensus price created from the price targets published by 11 participating analysts whose targets ranged from $46.00 to $55.00.

Mean recommendation: Zacks normalizes analyst recommendations to a 1-5 scale where 1 indicates a strong buy. Their mean recommendation for JCI has been updated to 1.97, which indicates a buy consensus from analysts. Sentiment has moved from 2.25 to 2.25 to 2.39 over the past three months.

Trade approach: The difference between the current price for JCI and the mean price target is $6.06, which represents a 11.94% move (25.69% annualized). Since the 180-day implied volatility for JCI is 24.17%, a bullish strategy could prove effective if the price target ultimately turns out to be accurate.

Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if JOHNSON CONTROLS closed at or above $45.60 on 21-Apr-2017. Based on our analysis, there is a 51.30% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 9/28/2016 2:15:30 PM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

52-Week High Alert: Trading today’s movement in GRUBHUB INC $GRUB

The automated Quantcha Trade Ideas Service has detected a promising Bull Put Spread trade opportunity for GRUBHUB INC (GRUB) for the 21-Oct-2016 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

GRUB was recently trading at $43.64 and has an implied volatility of 40.91% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for GRUB expiring on 21-Oct-2016, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $43.70-$48.46 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 50.67%.

52 week high: GRUBHUB INC recently reached a new 52-week high at $44.39. GRUB had traded in the range $17.77-$43.62 over the past year.

Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week high is a bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if GRUB maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $43.64 on 21-Oct-2016. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.

Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if GRUBHUB INC closes at or above $43.20 on 21-Oct-2016. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 54.40% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 9/28/2016 1:25:08 PM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

Synthetic Long Discount Alert: TOBIRA THERAPEUTICS INC $TBRA trading at a 12.20% discount for the 18-Nov-2016 expiration

The automated Quantcha Trade Ideas Service has detected a promising Synthetic Long Stock trade opportunity for TOBIRA THERAPEUTICS INC (TBRA) for the 18-Nov-2016 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

TBRA was recently trading at $39.57 and has an implied volatility of 31.95% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for TBRA expiring on 18-Nov-2016, there is a 68.27% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $28.41-$55.19 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 63.88%.

Upside potential: This synthetic long position offers the same potential benefits and liabilities as a long stock position, but at a discount due to the significant premium at-the-money puts are trading at over calls. In this case, the put position is opened at a strike of $40.00, which is already $0.43 in-the-money. However, its sale more than offsets this moneyness and the cost of the long call that the trade results in a net credit of of $5.30 per share. The final position can be considered as having a discount of $4.87 per share over the underlying price of $39.57 for a 12.31% total.

Downside risk: This discount is generally a sign of the stock facing considerable short pressure, and may indicate that the stock has become hard to borrow. However, if you have a long view of the underlying over this period, it could be a good opportunity to benefit from the upside at a major discount.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 9/28/2016 1:18:12 PM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

Price Target Alert: Trading the Zacks price target change for AMERICAN ELECTRIC POWER $AEP

The automated Quantcha Trade Ideas Service has detected a promising Bull Put Spread trade opportunity for AMERICAN ELECTRIC POWER (AEP) for the 19-May-2017 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

AEP was recently trading at $65.14 and has an implied volatility of 18.26% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for AEP expiring on 19-May-2017, there is a 36.73% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $65.15-$78.17 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 78.33%.

Price target: Zacks Research has updated their six-month price target for AEP to $71.06. This price target is a consensus price created from the price targets published by 8 participating analysts whose targets ranged from $65.00 to $76.00.

Mean recommendation: Zacks normalizes analyst recommendations to a 1-5 scale where 1 indicates a strong buy. Their mean recommendation for AEP has been updated to 1.91, which indicates a buy consensus from analysts. Sentiment has moved from 1.55 to 1.50 to 1.80 over the past three months.

Trade approach: The difference between the current price for AEP and the mean price target is $6.86, which represents a 9.08% move (19.28% annualized). Since the 180-day implied volatility for AEP is 17.52%, a bullish strategy could prove effective if the price target ultimately turns out to be accurate.

Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if AMERICAN ELECTRIC POWER closed at or above $65.10 on 19-May-2017. Based on our analysis, there is a 45.76% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 9/28/2016 1:16:13 PM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

Price Target Alert: Trading the Zacks price target change for SOUTHERN $SO

The automated Quantcha Trade Ideas Service has detected a promising Long Iron Condor trade opportunity for SOUTHERN (SO) for the 19-May-2017 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

SO was recently trading at $52.55 and has an implied volatility of 17.43% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for SO expiring on 19-May-2017, there is a 52.64% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $47.59-$58.16 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 14.42%.

Price target: Zacks Research has updated their six-month price target for SO to $52.88. This price target is a consensus price created from the price targets published by 8 participating analysts whose targets ranged from $46.00 to $62.00.

Mean recommendation: Zacks normalizes analyst recommendations to a 1-5 scale where 1 indicates a strong buy. Their mean recommendation for SO has been updated to 3.03, which indicates a hold consensus from analysts. Sentiment has moved from 3.21 to 3.03 to 3.03 over the past three months.

Trade approach: The difference between the current price for SO and the mean price target is $0.45, which represents a 0.62% move (1.26% annualized). Since the 180-day implied volatility for SO is 16.29%, a neutral range-bound strategy could prove effective if the price target ultimately turns out to be accurate.

Upside potential: Using this neutral range-bound strategy, the trade would be profitable if SOUTHERN closed in the range $44.37-$60.63 on 19-May-2017. Based on our analysis, there is a 74.11% likelihood of this return. The maximum return for this trade would be 14.42% if SOUTHERN closed in the range $45.00-$60.00.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 9/28/2016 12:14:06 PM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

Price Target Alert: Trading the Zacks price target change for CELGENE $CELG

The automated Quantcha Trade Ideas Service has detected a promising Bull Call Spread trade opportunity for CELGENE (CELG) for the 21-Apr-2017 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

CELG was recently trading at $106.45 and has an implied volatility of 31.20% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for CELG expiring on 21-Apr-2017, there is a 17.45% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $127.61-$155.96 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 378.69%.

Price target: Zacks Research has updated their six-month price target for CELG to $141.79. This price target is a consensus price created from the price targets published by 14 participating analysts whose targets ranged from $120.00 to $162.00.

Mean recommendation: Zacks normalizes analyst recommendations to a 1-5 scale where 1 indicates a strong buy. Their mean recommendation for CELG has been updated to 1.35, which indicates a strong buy consensus from analysts. Sentiment has moved from 1.41 to 1.35 to 1.35 over the past three months.

Trade approach: The difference between the current price for CELG and the mean price target is $35.05, which represents a 33.19% move (78.82% annualized). Since the 180-day implied volatility for CELG is 30.51%, a bullish strategy could prove effective if the price target ultimately turns out to be accurate.

Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if CELGENE closed at or above $124.42 on 21-Apr-2017. Based on our analysis, there is a 26.14% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 9/28/2016 11:14:56 AM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

Price Target Alert: Trading the Zacks price target change for COMCAST $CMCSA

The automated Quantcha Trade Ideas Service has detected a promising Bull Call Spread trade opportunity for COMCAST (CMCSA) for the 21-Apr-2017 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

CMCSA was recently trading at $66.15 and has an implied volatility of 19.80% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for CMCSA expiring on 21-Apr-2017, there is a 36.84% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $67.54-$82.55 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 89.64%.

Price target: Zacks Research has updated their six-month price target for CMCSA to $75.04. This price target is a consensus price created from the price targets published by 24 participating analysts whose targets ranged from $69.00 to $84.00.

Mean recommendation: Zacks normalizes analyst recommendations to a 1-5 scale where 1 indicates a strong buy. Their mean recommendation for CMCSA has been updated to 1.25, which indicates a strong buy consensus from analysts. Sentiment has moved from 1.25 to 1.25 to 1.25 over the past three months.

Trade approach: The difference between the current price for CMCSA and the mean price target is $8.85, which represents a 13.44% move (29.14% annualized). Since the 180-day implied volatility for CMCSA is 19.42%, a bullish strategy could prove effective if the price target ultimately turns out to be accurate.

Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if COMCAST closed at or above $67.53 on 21-Apr-2017. Based on our analysis, there is a 43.68% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 9/28/2016 11:11:19 AM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

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