The automated Quantcha Trade Ideas Service has detected a promising Synthetic Long Stock trade opportunity for SEARS HOLDINGS (SHLD) for the 18-Jan-2019 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
SHLD was recently trading at $5.17 and has an implied volatility of 62.09% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for SHLD expiring on 18-Jan-2019, there is a 68.27% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $1.67-$16.63 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 99.01%.
Upside potential: This synthetic long position offers the same potential benefits and liabilities as a long stock position, but at a discount due to the significant premium at-the-money puts are trading at over calls. In this case, the long call position is opened at a strike of $5.00, which is already $0.17 in the money. An out-of-the-money put at the same strike is sold to finance the call, resulting in a net credit of $1.10 per share. The final position can be considered as having a discount of $1.27 per share over the underlying price of $5.17 for a 24.56% total.
Downside risk: This discount is generally a sign of the stock facing considerable short pressure, and may indicate that the stock has become hard to borrow. However, if you have a long view of the underlying over this period, it could be a good opportunity to benefit from the upside at a major discount.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 11/6/2017 9:40:01 AM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.