The automated Quantcha Trade Ideas Service has detected a promising Synthetic Long Stock trade opportunity for EROS INTL PLC (EROS) for the 17-Jan-2020 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
EROS was recently trading at $13.40 and has an implied volatility of 41.76% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for EROS expiring on 17-Jan-2020, there is a 68.27% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $4.81-$38.75 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 78.98%.
Upside potential: This synthetic long position offers the same potential benefits and liabilities as a long stock position, but at a discount due to the significant premium at-the-money puts are trading at over calls. In this case, the long call position is opened at a strike of $12.50, which is already $0.90 in the money. An out-of-the-money put at the same strike is sold to finance the call, resulting in a net credit of $1.30 per share. The final position can be considered as having a discount of $2.20 per share over the underlying price of $13.40 for a 16.42% total.
Downside risk: This discount is generally a sign of the stock facing considerable short pressure, and may indicate that the stock has become hard to borrow. However, if you have a long view of the underlying over this period, it could be a good opportunity to benefit from the upside at a major discount.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 11/27/2017 10:03:43 AM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.