The automated Quantcha Trade Ideas Service has detected a promising Synthetic Long Stock trade opportunity for DIREXION DAILY GOLD MINERS BEA (DUST) for the 17-Jan-2020 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
DUST was recently trading at $29.05 and has an implied volatility of 64.95% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for DUST expiring on 17-Jan-2020, there is a 68.27% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $8.88-$100.71 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 64.66%.
Upside potential: This synthetic long position offers the same potential benefits and liabilities as a long stock position, but at a discount due to the significant premium at-the-money puts are trading at over calls. In this case, the put position is opened at a strike of $30.00, which is already $0.95 in-the-money. However, its sale more than offsets this moneyness and the cost of the long call that the trade results in a net credit of of $4.30 per share. The final position can be considered as having a discount of $3.35 per share over the underlying price of $29.05 for a 11.53% total.
Downside risk: This discount is generally a sign of the stock facing considerable short pressure, and may indicate that the stock has become hard to borrow. However, if you have a long view of the underlying over this period, it could be a good opportunity to benefit from the upside at a major discount.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 12/6/2017 9:40:55 AM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.