Synthetic Long Discount Alert: TAILORED BRANDS INC $TLRD trading at a 11.26% discount for the 19-Jan-2018 expiration

The automated Quantcha Trade Ideas Service has detected a promising Synthetic Long Stock trade opportunity for TAILORED BRANDS INC (TLRD) for the 19-Jan-2018 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

TLRD was recently trading at $19.80 and has an implied volatility of 35.79% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for TLRD expiring on 19-Jan-2018, there is a 68.27% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $14.75-$26.13 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 47.02%.

Upside potential: This synthetic long position offers the same potential benefits and liabilities as a long stock position, but at a discount due to the significant premium at-the-money puts are trading at over calls. In this case, the put position is opened at a strike of $20.00, which is already $0.20 in-the-money. However, its sale more than offsets this moneyness and the cost of the long call that the trade results in a net credit of of $2.50 per share. The final position can be considered as having a discount of $2.30 per share over the underlying price of $19.80 for a 11.62% total.

Downside risk: This discount is generally a sign of the stock facing considerable short pressure, and may indicate that the stock has become hard to borrow. However, if you have a long view of the underlying over this period, it could be a good opportunity to benefit from the upside at a major discount.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 12/7/2017 9:59:21 AM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.