Synthetic Long Discount Alert: HELIOS AND MATHESON ANALYTICS $HMNY trading at a 10.33% discount for the 17-Aug-2018 expiration

The automated Quantcha Trade Ideas Service has detected a promising Synthetic Long Stock trade opportunity for HELIOS AND MATHESON ANALYTICS (HMNY) for the 17-Aug-2018 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

HMNY was recently trading at $7.70 and has an implied volatility of 92.27% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for HMNY expiring on 17-Aug-2018, there is a 68.27% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $2.89-$21.12 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 54.03%.

Upside potential: This synthetic long position offers the same potential benefits and liabilities as a long stock position, but at a discount due to the significant premium at-the-money puts are trading at over calls. In this case, the long call position is opened at a strike of $7.50, which is already $0.20 in the money. An out-of-the-money put at the same strike is sold to finance the call, resulting in a net credit of $0.60 per share. The final position can be considered as having a discount of $0.80 per share over the underlying price of $7.70 for a 10.39% total.

Downside risk: This discount is generally a sign of the stock facing considerable short pressure, and may indicate that the stock has become hard to borrow. However, if you have a long view of the underlying over this period, it could be a good opportunity to benefit from the upside at a major discount.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 1/12/2018 10:17:20 AM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.