Synthetic Long Discount Alert: GOLAR LNG PARTNERS $GMLP trading at a 12.16% discount for the 17-Jan-2020 expiration

The automated Quantcha Trade Ideas Service has detected a promising Synthetic Long Stock trade opportunity for GOLAR LNG PARTNERS (GMLP) for the 17-Jan-2020 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

GMLP was recently trading at $16.00 and has an implied volatility of 11.05% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for GMLP expiring on 17-Jan-2020, there is a 68.27% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $10.41-$26.32 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 75.69%.

Upside potential: This synthetic long position offers the same potential benefits and liabilities as a long stock position, but at a discount due to the significant premium at-the-money puts are trading at over calls. In this case, the long call position is opened at a strike of $15.00, which is already $1.00 in the money. An out-of-the-money put at the same strike is sold to finance the call, resulting in a net credit of $0.95 per share. The final position can be considered as having a discount of $1.95 per share over the underlying price of $16.00 for a 12.17% total.

Downside risk: This discount is generally a sign of the stock facing considerable short pressure, and may indicate that the stock has become hard to borrow. However, if you have a long view of the underlying over this period, it could be a good opportunity to benefit from the upside at a major discount.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 7/10/2018 10:43:08 AM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.