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Quantchabot has detected a promising Synthetic Long Stock trade opportunity for TILRAY INC. CLASS 2 COMMON STOCK (TLRY) for the 17-Jan-2020 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
TLRY was recently trading at $128.96 and has an implied volatility of 46.72% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for TLRY expiring on 17-Jan-2020, there is a 68.27% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $49.35-$363.73 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 104.29%.
Upside potential: This synthetic long position offers the same potential benefits and liabilities as a long stock position, but at a discount due to the significant premium at-the-money puts are trading at over calls. In this case, the put position is opened at a strike of $130.00, which is already $1.04 in-the-money. However, its sale more than offsets this moneyness and the cost of the long call that the trade results in a net credit of of $33.00 per share. The final position can be considered as having a discount of $31.96 per share over the underlying price of $128.96 for a 24.78% total.
Downside risk: This discount is generally a sign of the stock facing considerable short pressure, and may indicate that the stock has become hard to borrow. However, if you have a long view of the underlying over this period, it could be a good opportunity to benefit from the upside at a major discount.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 10/10/2018 10:38:57 AM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.