Synthetic Long Discount Alert: SIEBERT FINANCIAL $SIEB trading at a 9.09% discount for the 16-Aug-2019 expiration

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Quantchabot has detected a promising Synthetic Long Stock trade opportunity for SIEBERT FINANCIAL (SIEB) for the 16-Aug-2019 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

SIEB was recently trading at $12.20 and has an implied volatility of 33.44% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for SIEB expiring on 16-Aug-2019, there is a 68.27% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $7.94-$18.87 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 45.53%.

Upside potential: This synthetic long position offers the same potential benefits and liabilities as a long stock position, but at a discount due to the significant premium at-the-money puts are trading at over calls. In this case, the put position is opened at a strike of $12.50, which is already $0.30 in-the-money. However, its sale more than offsets this moneyness and the cost of the long call that the trade results in a net credit of of $1.55 per share. The final position can be considered as having a discount of $1.25 per share over the underlying price of $12.20 for a 10.25% total.

Downside risk: This discount is generally a sign of the stock facing considerable short pressure, and may indicate that the stock has become hard to borrow. However, if you have a long view of the underlying over this period, it could be a good opportunity to benefit from the upside at a major discount.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 1/23/2019 11:46:06 AM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

Synthetic Long Discount Alert: CENTURYLINK $CTL trading at a 10.19% discount for the 15-Jan-2021 expiration

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Quantchabot has detected a promising Synthetic Long Stock trade opportunity for CENTURYLINK (CTL) for the 15-Jan-2021 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

CTL was recently trading at $15.37 and has an implied volatility of 20.20% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for CTL expiring on 15-Jan-2021, there is a 68.27% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $9.58-$27.86 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 68.67%.

Upside potential: This synthetic long position offers the same potential benefits and liabilities as a long stock position, but at a discount due to the significant premium at-the-money puts are trading at over calls. In this case, the long call position is opened at a strike of $15.00, which is already $0.37 in the money. An out-of-the-money put at the same strike is sold to finance the call, resulting in a net credit of $1.20 per share. The final position can be considered as having a discount of $1.57 per share over the underlying price of $15.37 for a 10.21% total.

Downside risk: This discount is generally a sign of the stock facing considerable short pressure, and may indicate that the stock has become hard to borrow. However, if you have a long view of the underlying over this period, it could be a good opportunity to benefit from the upside at a major discount.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 1/23/2019 11:26:48 AM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

Synthetic Long Discount Alert: TILRAY INC. CLASS 2 COMMON STOCK $TLRY trading at a 10.06% discount for the 15-Jan-2021 expiration

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Quantchabot has detected a promising Synthetic Long Stock trade opportunity for TILRAY INC. CLASS 2 COMMON STOCK (TLRY) for the 15-Jan-2021 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

TLRY was recently trading at $73.40 and has an implied volatility of 52.01% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for TLRY expiring on 15-Jan-2021, there is a 68.27% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $26.80-$227.08 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 68.10%.

Upside potential: This synthetic long position offers the same potential benefits and liabilities as a long stock position, but at a discount due to the significant premium at-the-money puts are trading at over calls. In this case, the put position is opened at a strike of $75.00, which is already $1.60 in-the-money. However, its sale more than offsets this moneyness and the cost of the long call that the trade results in a net credit of of $9.00 per share. The final position can be considered as having a discount of $7.40 per share over the underlying price of $73.40 for a 10.08% total.

Downside risk: This discount is generally a sign of the stock facing considerable short pressure, and may indicate that the stock has become hard to borrow. However, if you have a long view of the underlying over this period, it could be a good opportunity to benefit from the upside at a major discount.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 1/23/2019 10:57:01 AM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

52-Week High Alert: Trading today’s movement in OKTA INC. CL A COMMON STOCK $OKTA

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Quantchabot has detected a promising Bull Put Spread trade opportunity for OKTA INC. CL A COMMON STOCK (OKTA) for the 15-Feb-2019 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

OKTA was recently trading at $80.21 and has an implied volatility of 47.38% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for OKTA expiring on 15-Feb-2019, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $80.34-$90.60 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 47.06%.

52 week high: OKTA INC. CL A COMMON STOCK recently reached a new 52-week high at $80.43. OKTA had traded in the range $27.71-$79.50 over the past year.

Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week high is a bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if OKTA maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $80.21 on 15-Feb-2019. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.

Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if OKTA INC. CL A COMMON STOCK closes at or above $78.40 on 15-Feb-2019. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 58.03% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 1/23/2019 10:48:53 AM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

StockTwits Trending Alert: Trading recent interest in CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL $COF

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Quantchabot has detected a promising Bear Put Spread trade opportunity for CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL (COF) for the 1-Feb-2019 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

COF was recently trading at $78.62 and has an implied volatility of 30.89% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for COF expiring on 1-Feb-2019, there is a 33.60% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $74.93-$78.62 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 82.00%.

Trending on StockTwits: StockTwits® is a financial communications platform for the financial and investing community. On their site, CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL was recently trending, indicating that breaking news and/or market activity has significantly impacted sentiment toward the stock. This movement can be interpretted as a sign of more near-term price movement for the underlying.

Trade approach: The recent sentiment change in COF on StockTwits appears to be significantly negative, indicating that the stock is likely to follow in that direction for investors trading on sentiment. As a result, a bearish strategy could prove effective if the sentiment ultimately turns out to drive trading.

Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL closed at or below $78.73 on 1-Feb-2019. Based on our analysis, there is a 50.61% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 1/23/2019 10:47:55 AM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

52-Week Low Alert: Trading today’s movement in WEIBO CORPORATION AMERICAN DEP $WB

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Quantchabot has detected a promising Bear Put Spread trade opportunity for WEIBO CORPORATION AMERICAN DEP (WB) for the 8-Feb-2019 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

WB was recently trading at $53.47 and has an implied volatility of 59.98% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for WB expiring on 8-Feb-2019, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $47.06-$53.54 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 59.93%.

52 week low: WEIBO CORPORATION AMERICAN DEP recently reached a new 52-week low at $52.81. WB had traded in the range $53.11-$142.12 over the past year.

Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week low is a bearish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if WB maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bullish side of $53.47 on 8-Feb-2019. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.

Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if WEIBO CORPORATION AMERICAN DEP closes at or below $53.60 on 8-Feb-2019. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 50.37% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 1/23/2019 10:47:55 AM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

Big Loser Alert: Trading today’s -7.7% move in UROGEN PHARMA LTD. ORDINARY SHARES $URGN

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Quantchabot has detected a promising Covered Put trade opportunity for UROGEN PHARMA LTD. ORDINARY SHARES (URGN) for the 15-Feb-2019 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

URGN was recently trading at $49.53 and has an implied volatility of 69.74% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for URGN expiring on 15-Feb-2019, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $41.71-$49.78 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 10.97%.

Big -7.71% Change: After closing the last trading session at $53.66, UROGEN PHARMA LTD. ORDINARY SHARES opened today at $50.64 and has reached a low of $49.22.

Trade approach: A movement as big as -7.71% is a significantly bearish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if URGN maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bullish side of $49.53 on 15-Feb-2019. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.

Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if UROGEN PHARMA LTD. ORDINARY SHARES closes at or below $52.40 on 15-Feb-2019. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 61.43% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 1/23/2019 10:48:18 AM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

Big Loser Alert: Trading today’s -8.7% move in PTC THERAPEUTICS INC. COMMON $PTCT

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Quantchabot has detected a promising Bear Call Spread trade opportunity for PTC THERAPEUTICS INC. COMMON (PTCT) for the 1-Mar-2019 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

PTCT was recently trading at $30.14 and has an implied volatility of 67.13% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for PTCT expiring on 1-Mar-2019, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $24.24-$30.21 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 25.87%.

Big -8.73% Change: After closing the last trading session at $33.02, PTC THERAPEUTICS INC. COMMON opened today at $30.22 and has reached a low of $29.65.

Trade approach: A movement as big as -8.73% is a significantly bearish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if PTCT maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bullish side of $30.14 on 1-Mar-2019. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.

Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if PTC THERAPEUTICS INC. COMMON closes at or below $30.65 on 1-Mar-2019. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 52.59% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 1/23/2019 10:47:55 AM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

StockTwits Trending Alert: Trading recent interest in KIMBERLY-CLARK $KMB

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Quantchabot has detected a promising Bear Call Spread trade opportunity for KIMBERLY-CLARK (KMB) for the 1-Feb-2019 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

KMB was recently trading at $113.09 and has an implied volatility of 28.68% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for KMB expiring on 1-Feb-2019, there is a 33.54% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $108.31-$113.10 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 54.56%.

Trending on StockTwits: StockTwits® is a financial communications platform for the financial and investing community. On their site, KIMBERLY-CLARK was recently trending, indicating that breaking news and/or market activity has significantly impacted sentiment toward the stock. This movement can be interpretted as a sign of more near-term price movement for the underlying.

Trade approach: The recent sentiment change in KMB on StockTwits appears to be significantly negative, indicating that the stock is likely to follow in that direction for investors trading on sentiment. As a result, a bearish strategy could prove effective if the sentiment ultimately turns out to drive trading.

Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if KIMBERLY-CLARK closed at or below $113.45 on 1-Feb-2019. Based on our analysis, there is a 52.21% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 1/23/2019 10:47:44 AM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

Big Loser Alert: Trading today’s -8.9% move in TRINSEO SA $TSE

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Quantchabot has detected a promising Covered Put trade opportunity for TRINSEO SA (TSE) for the 15-Feb-2019 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

TSE was recently trading at $44.40 and has an implied volatility of 53.75% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for TSE expiring on 15-Feb-2019, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $38.63-$44.46 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 12.34%.

Big -8.87% Change: After closing the last trading session at $48.72, TRINSEO SA opened today at $43.49 and has reached a low of $42.86.

Trade approach: A movement as big as -8.87% is a significantly bearish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if TSE maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bullish side of $44.40 on 15-Feb-2019. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.

Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if TRINSEO SA closes at or below $44.57 on 15-Feb-2019. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 50.72% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 1/23/2019 10:47:32 AM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.