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Quantchabot has detected a promising Bull Put Spread trade opportunity for MICROSOFT (MSFT) for the 17-Apr-2020 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
MSFT was recently trading at $184.65 and has an implied volatility of 24.05% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for MSFT expiring on 17-Apr-2020, there is a 34.13% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $184.71-$204.68 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 72.26%.
52 week high: MICROSOFT recently reached a new 52-week high at $184.90. MSFT had traded in the range $104.26-$184.20 over the past year.
Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week high is a bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if MSFT maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $184.65 on 17-Apr-2020. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if MICROSOFT closes at or above $182.90 on 17-Apr-2020. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 53.83% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.