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Quantchabot has detected a promising Secured Put trade opportunity for ADAPTIMMUNE THERAPEUTICS PLC AMERICAN DEPOSITARY S (ADAP) for the 17-Jul-2020 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
ADAP was recently trading at $5.68 and has an implied volatility of 119.43% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for ADAP expiring on 17-Jul-2020, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $5.68-$9.08 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 28.12%.
52 week high: ADAPTIMMUNE THERAPEUTICS PLC AMERICAN DEPOSITARY S recently reached a new 52-week high at $6.05. ADAP had traded in the range $0.71-$6.00 over the past year.
Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week high is a bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if ADAP maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $5.68 on 17-Jul-2020. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if ADAPTIMMUNE THERAPEUTICS PLC AMERICAN DEPOSITARY S closes at or above $5.35 on 17-Jul-2020. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 55.10% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.