All posts by Automated Ideas

Ideas posted by this account are automatically generated based on market analysis. Please be aware that they are not vetted and the publishing process is completely automated. If you have any feedback about the ideas posted, please email hello@quantcha.com.

Synthetic Long Discount Alert: APHRIA INC $APHA trading at a 13.54% discount for the 15-Jan-2021 expiration

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Quantchabot has detected a promising Synthetic Long Stock trade opportunity for APHRIA INC (APHA) for the 15-Jan-2021 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

APHA was recently trading at $7.05 and has an implied volatility of 38.81% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for APHA expiring on 15-Jan-2021, there is a 68.27% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $3.46-$15.41 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 67.80%.

Upside potential: This synthetic long position offers the same potential benefits and liabilities as a long stock position, but at a discount due to the significant premium at-the-money puts are trading at over calls. In this case, the put position is opened at a strike of $7.50, which is already $0.45 in-the-money. However, its sale more than offsets this moneyness and the cost of the long call that the trade results in a net credit of of $1.40 per share. The final position can be considered as having a discount of $0.95 per share over the underlying price of $7.05 for a 13.48% total.

Downside risk: This discount is generally a sign of the stock facing considerable short pressure, and may indicate that the stock has become hard to borrow. However, if you have a long view of the underlying over this period, it could be a good opportunity to benefit from the upside at a major discount.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 6/25/2019 10:56:16 AM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

52-Week Low Alert: Trading today’s movement in ABBVIE INC $ABBV

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Quantchabot has detected a promising Bear Call Spread trade opportunity for ABBVIE INC (ABBV) for the 19-Jul-2019 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

ABBV was recently trading at $66.68 and has an implied volatility of 34.84% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for ABBV expiring on 19-Jul-2019, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $60.30-$65.72 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 122.73%.

52 week low: ABBVIE INC recently reached a new 52-week low at $66.56. ABBV had traded in the range $73.81-$100.23 over the past year.

Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week low is a bearish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if ABBV maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bullish side of $66.68 on 19-Jul-2019. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.

Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if ABBVIE INC closes at or below $66.40 on 19-Jul-2019. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 54.78% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 6/25/2019 10:55:12 AM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

StockTwits Trending Alert: Trading recent interest in MICRON TECHNOLOGY $MU

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Quantchabot has detected a promising Bear Put Spread trade opportunity for MICRON TECHNOLOGY (MU) for the 5-Jul-2019 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

MU was recently trading at $33.65 and has an implied volatility of 65.27% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for MU expiring on 5-Jul-2019, there is a 33.94% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $30.07-$33.66 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 81.07%.

Trending on StockTwits: StockTwits® is a financial communications platform for the financial and investing community. On their site, MICRON TECHNOLOGY was recently trending, indicating that breaking news and/or market activity has significantly impacted sentiment toward the stock. This movement can be interpretted as a sign of more near-term price movement for the underlying.

Trade approach: The recent sentiment change in MU on StockTwits appears to be significantly negative, indicating that the stock is likely to follow in that direction for investors trading on sentiment. As a result, a bearish strategy could prove effective if the sentiment ultimately turns out to drive trading.

Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if MICRON TECHNOLOGY closed at or below $33.71 on 5-Jul-2019. Based on our analysis, there is a 50.38% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 6/25/2019 10:53:54 AM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

Big Loser Alert: Trading today’s -12.2% move in BRIGHTHOUSE FINANCIAL INC. COMMON STOCK $BHF

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Quantchabot has detected a promising Bear Call Spread trade opportunity for BRIGHTHOUSE FINANCIAL INC. COMMON STOCK (BHF) for the 19-Jul-2019 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

BHF was recently trading at $33.46 and has an implied volatility of 42.07% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for BHF expiring on 19-Jul-2019, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $29.87-$33.51 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 28.95%.

Big -12.22% Change: After closing the last trading session at $38.12, BRIGHTHOUSE FINANCIAL INC. COMMON STOCK opened today at $34.09 and has reached a low of $33.25.

Trade approach: A movement as big as -12.22% is a significantly bearish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if BHF maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bullish side of $33.46 on 19-Jul-2019. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.

Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if BRIGHTHOUSE FINANCIAL INC. COMMON STOCK closes at or below $33.65 on 19-Jul-2019. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 51.40% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 6/25/2019 10:55:06 AM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

Covered Call Alert: INTELSAT S.A. $I returning up to 33.52% through 20-Dec-2019

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Quantchabot has detected a promising Covered Call trade opportunity for INTELSAT S.A. (I) for the 20-Dec-2019 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

I was recently trading at $19.53 and has an implied volatility of 94.98% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for I expiring on 20-Dec-2019, there is a 68.27% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $10.36-$37.69 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 18.91%.

Moneyness: These options are currently 2.64% in the money and there is a 52.31% likelihood that these options will be exercised before or at expiration.

Most upside: If INTELSAT S.A. closes at or above $19.00, this trade could return up to 33.52%. Based on our analysis, there is a 52.42% likelihood of this return.

The downside: As with any covered call, the risk is substantial as it is vulnerable to a downturn in the underlying itself. There is a 30.57% chance the underlying will close at or below its breakeven price of $14.23, resulting in a net loss on the trade.

To find the best covered calls on the market, be sure to check out Quantcha’s covered call screener.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 6/25/2019 10:53:48 AM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

52-Week High Alert: Trading today’s movement in THERMO FISHER SCIENTIFIC $TMO

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Quantchabot has detected a promising Bull Put Spread trade opportunity for THERMO FISHER SCIENTIFIC (TMO) for the 19-Jul-2019 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

TMO was recently trading at $297.02 and has an implied volatility of 18.17% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for TMO expiring on 19-Jul-2019, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $297.50-$312.43 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 49.85%.

52 week high: THERMO FISHER SCIENTIFIC recently reached a new 52-week high at $298.38. TMO had traded in the range $202.83-$297.41 over the past year.

Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week high is a bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if TMO maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $297.02 on 19-Jul-2019. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.

Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if THERMO FISHER SCIENTIFIC closes at or above $296.50 on 19-Jul-2019. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 52.75% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 6/25/2019 10:53:58 AM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

Synthetic Long Discount Alert: CEL-SCI $CVM trading at a 14.30% discount for the 17-Jan-2020 expiration

Quantcha now offering unlimited commission-free options trading.

Quantchabot has detected a promising Synthetic Long Stock trade opportunity for CEL-SCI (CVM) for the 17-Jan-2020 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

CVM was recently trading at $8.65 and has an implied volatility of 90.90% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for CVM expiring on 17-Jan-2020, there is a 68.27% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $2.85-$26.96 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 78.69%.

Upside potential: This synthetic long position offers the same potential benefits and liabilities as a long stock position, but at a discount due to the significant premium at-the-money puts are trading at over calls. In this case, the long call position is opened at a strike of $7.50, which is already $1.15 in the money. An out-of-the-money put at the same strike is sold to finance the call, resulting in a net credit of $0.10 per share. The final position can be considered as having a discount of $1.25 per share over the underlying price of $8.65 for a 14.45% total.

Downside risk: This discount is generally a sign of the stock facing considerable short pressure, and may indicate that the stock has become hard to borrow. However, if you have a long view of the underlying over this period, it could be a good opportunity to benefit from the upside at a major discount.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 6/25/2019 10:53:46 AM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

Big Loser Alert: Trading today’s -13.0% move in 51JOB $JOBS

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Quantchabot has detected a promising Covered Put trade opportunity for 51JOB (JOBS) for the 19-Jul-2019 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

JOBS was recently trading at $64.78 and has an implied volatility of 33.71% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for JOBS expiring on 19-Jul-2019, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $56.29-$64.89 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 16.04%.

Big -13.04% Change: After closing the last trading session at $74.49, 51JOB opened today at $73.11 and has reached a low of $59.36.

Trade approach: A movement as big as -13.04% is a significantly bearish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if JOBS maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bullish side of $64.78 on 19-Jul-2019. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.

Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if 51JOB closes at or below $95.30 on 19-Jul-2019. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 99.66% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 6/25/2019 10:53:57 AM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

52-Week High Alert: Trading today’s movement in ABBOTT LABORATORIES $ABT

Quantcha now offering unlimited commission-free options trading.

Quantchabot has detected a promising Bull Put Spread trade opportunity for ABBOTT LABORATORIES (ABT) for the 12-Jul-2019 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

ABT was recently trading at $85.04 and has an implied volatility of 17.50% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for ABT expiring on 12-Jul-2019, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $85.14-$88.49 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 57.95%.

52 week high: ABBOTT LABORATORIES recently reached a new 52-week high at $85.45. ABT had traded in the range $60.32-$85.36 over the past year.

Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week high is a bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if ABT maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $85.04 on 12-Jul-2019. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.

Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if ABBOTT LABORATORIES closes at or above $85.01 on 12-Jul-2019. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 51.56% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 6/25/2019 10:53:32 AM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

Big Gainer Alert: Trading today’s 26.6% move in ALLERGAN INC $AGN

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Quantchabot has detected a promising Bull Put Spread trade opportunity for ALLERGAN INC (AGN) for the 19-Jul-2019 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

AGN was recently trading at $164.10 and has an implied volatility of 21.46% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for AGN expiring on 19-Jul-2019, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $164.36-$173.05 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 27.64%.

Big 26.65% Change: After closing the last trading session at $129.57, ALLERGAN INC opened today at $168.39 and has reached a high of $168.65.

Trade approach: A movement as big as 26.65% is a significantly bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if AGN maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $164.10 on 19-Jul-2019. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.

Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if ALLERGAN INC closes at or above $162.81 on 19-Jul-2019. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 57.31% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 6/25/2019 10:53:26 AM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.