Category Archives: Trade Ideas

Synthetic Long Discount Alert: 500.COM LTD $WBAI trading at a 10.06% discount for the 20-Sep-2019 expiration

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Quantchabot has detected a promising Synthetic Long Stock trade opportunity for 500.COM LTD (WBAI) for the 20-Sep-2019 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

WBAI was recently trading at $11.82 and has an implied volatility of 43.30% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for WBAI expiring on 20-Sep-2019, there is a 68.27% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $7.25-$19.91 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 49.54%.

Upside potential: This synthetic long position offers the same potential benefits and liabilities as a long stock position, but at a discount due to the significant premium at-the-money puts are trading at over calls. In this case, the put position is opened at a strike of $12.50, which is already $0.68 in-the-money. However, its sale more than offsets this moneyness and the cost of the long call that the trade results in a net credit of of $1.90 per share. The final position can be considered as having a discount of $1.22 per share over the underlying price of $11.82 for a 10.32% total.

Downside risk: This discount is generally a sign of the stock facing considerable short pressure, and may indicate that the stock has become hard to borrow. However, if you have a long view of the underlying over this period, it could be a good opportunity to benefit from the upside at a major discount.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 2/15/2019 12:15:27 PM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

Covered Call Alert: UPWORK INC. COMMON STOCK $UPWK returning up to 14.88% through 19-Jul-2019

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Quantchabot has detected a promising Covered Call trade opportunity for UPWORK INC. COMMON STOCK (UPWK) for the 19-Jul-2019 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

UPWK was recently trading at $22.74 and has an implied volatility of 68.94% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for UPWK expiring on 19-Jul-2019, there is a 68.27% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $14.86-$35.60 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 10.29%.

Moneyness: These options are currently 12.18% in the money and there is a 61.58% likelihood that these options will be exercised before or at expiration.

Most upside: If UPWORK INC. COMMON STOCK closes at or above $35.60, this trade could return up to 14.88%. Based on our analysis, there is a 15.87% likelihood of this return.

The downside: As with any covered call, the risk is substantial as it is vulnerable to a downturn in the underlying itself. There is a 26.18% chance the underlying will close at or below its breakeven price of $17.41, resulting in a net loss on the trade.

To find the best covered calls on the market, be sure to check out Quantcha’s covered call screener.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 2/15/2019 11:56:03 AM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

Synthetic Long Discount Alert: ENERGOUS CORPORATION COMMON ST $WATT trading at a 10.55% discount for the 17-Jan-2020 expiration

Quantcha now offering unlimited commission-free options trading.

Quantchabot has detected a promising Synthetic Long Stock trade opportunity for ENERGOUS CORPORATION COMMON ST (WATT) for the 17-Jan-2020 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

WATT was recently trading at $9.04 and has an implied volatility of 75.67% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for WATT expiring on 17-Jan-2020, there is a 68.27% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $3.59-$23.96 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 55.03%.

Upside potential: This synthetic long position offers the same potential benefits and liabilities as a long stock position, but at a discount due to the significant premium at-the-money puts are trading at over calls. In this case, the put position is opened at a strike of $10.00, which is already $0.96 in-the-money. However, its sale more than offsets this moneyness and the cost of the long call that the trade results in a net credit of of $1.90 per share. The final position can be considered as having a discount of $0.94 per share over the underlying price of $9.04 for a 10.40% total.

Downside risk: This discount is generally a sign of the stock facing considerable short pressure, and may indicate that the stock has become hard to borrow. However, if you have a long view of the underlying over this period, it could be a good opportunity to benefit from the upside at a major discount.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 2/15/2019 11:56:03 AM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

StockTwits Trending Alert: Trading recent interest in PEPSICO $PEP

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Quantchabot has detected a promising Bear Call Spread trade opportunity for PEPSICO (PEP) for the 1-Mar-2019 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

PEP was recently trading at $114.90 and has an implied volatility of 13.41% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for PEP expiring on 1-Mar-2019, there is a 32.89% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $111.26-$114.90 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 83.11%.

Trending on StockTwits: StockTwits® is a financial communications platform for the financial and investing community. On their site, PEPSICO was recently trending, indicating that breaking news and/or market activity has significantly impacted sentiment toward the stock. This movement can be interpretted as a sign of more near-term price movement for the underlying.

Trade approach: The recent sentiment change in PEP on StockTwits appears to be significantly negative, indicating that the stock is likely to follow in that direction for investors trading on sentiment. As a result, a bearish strategy could prove effective if the sentiment ultimately turns out to drive trading.

Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if PEPSICO closed at or below $114.98 on 1-Mar-2019. Based on our analysis, there is a 49.65% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 2/15/2019 10:46:38 AM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

Big Gainer Alert: Trading today’s 20.3% move in TRINET GROUP INC $TNET

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Quantchabot has detected a promising Bull Put Spread trade opportunity for TRINET GROUP INC (TNET) for the 15-Mar-2019 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

TNET was recently trading at $59.59 and has an implied volatility of 31.53% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for TNET expiring on 15-Mar-2019, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $59.71-$65.27 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 31.29%.

Big 20.31% Change: After closing the last trading session at $49.53, TRINET GROUP INC opened today at $55.50 and has reached a high of $60.00.

Trade approach: A movement as big as 20.31% is a significantly bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if TNET maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $59.59 on 15-Mar-2019. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.

Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if TRINET GROUP INC closes at or above $58.80 on 15-Mar-2019. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 56.82% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 2/15/2019 10:46:00 AM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

StockTwits Trending Alert: Trading recent interest in COCA-COLA $KO

Quantcha now offering unlimited commission-free options trading.

Quantchabot has detected a promising Bear Call Spread trade opportunity for COCA-COLA (KO) for the 1-Mar-2019 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

KO was recently trading at $45.99 and has an implied volatility of 14.75% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for KO expiring on 1-Mar-2019, there is a 32.77% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $44.69-$45.99 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 60.31%.

Trending on StockTwits: StockTwits® is a financial communications platform for the financial and investing community. On their site, COCA-COLA was recently trending, indicating that breaking news and/or market activity has significantly impacted sentiment toward the stock. This movement can be interpretted as a sign of more near-term price movement for the underlying.

Trade approach: The recent sentiment change in KO on StockTwits appears to be significantly negative, indicating that the stock is likely to follow in that direction for investors trading on sentiment. As a result, a bearish strategy could prove effective if the sentiment ultimately turns out to drive trading.

Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if COCA-COLA closed at or below $46.01 on 1-Mar-2019. Based on our analysis, there is a 49.37% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 2/15/2019 10:45:56 AM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

52-Week High Alert: Trading today’s movement in CROWN CASTLE $CCI

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Quantchabot has detected a promising Bull Put Spread trade opportunity for CROWN CASTLE (CCI) for the 15-Mar-2019 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

CCI was recently trading at $119.13 and has an implied volatility of 14.33% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for CCI expiring on 15-Mar-2019, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $119.36-$125.04 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 45.73%.

52 week high: CROWN CASTLE recently reached a new 52-week high at $120.09. CCI had traded in the range $98.85-$119.43 over the past year.

Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week high is a bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if CCI maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $119.13 on 15-Mar-2019. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.

Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if CROWN CASTLE closes at or above $118.40 on 15-Mar-2019. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 56.92% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 2/15/2019 10:45:58 AM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

Big Gainer Alert: Trading today’s 7.4% move in RADIAN GROUP $RDN

Quantcha now offering unlimited commission-free options trading.

Quantchabot has detected a promising Bull Call Spread trade opportunity for RADIAN GROUP (RDN) for the 15-Mar-2019 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

RDN was recently trading at $21.02 and has an implied volatility of 28.46% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for RDN expiring on 15-Mar-2019, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $21.06-$22.79 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 33.33%.

Big 7.38% Change: After closing the last trading session at $19.57, RADIAN GROUP opened today at $20.05 and has reached a high of $21.04.

Trade approach: A movement as big as 7.38% is a significantly bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if RDN maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $21.02 on 15-Mar-2019. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.

Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if RADIAN GROUP closes at or above $20.75 on 15-Mar-2019. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 57.36% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 2/15/2019 10:45:10 AM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

52-Week High Alert: Trading today’s movement in T-MOBILE US INC. COMMON STOCK $TMUS

Quantcha now offering unlimited commission-free options trading.

Quantchabot has detected a promising Bull Put Spread trade opportunity for T-MOBILE US INC. COMMON STOCK (TMUS) for the 29-Mar-2019 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

TMUS was recently trading at $70.73 and has an implied volatility of 20.24% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for TMUS expiring on 29-Mar-2019, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $70.94-$76.02 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 44.73%.

52 week high: T-MOBILE US INC. COMMON STOCK recently reached a new 52-week high at $71.05. TMUS had traded in the range $55.09-$70.94 over the past year.

Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week high is a bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if TMUS maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $70.73 on 29-Mar-2019. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.

Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if T-MOBILE US INC. COMMON STOCK closes at or above $70.91 on 29-Mar-2019. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 50.22% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 2/15/2019 10:44:58 AM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

StockTwits Trending Alert: Trading recent interest in FINANCIAL SELECT SECTOR SPDR $XLF

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Quantchabot has detected a promising Bull Put Spread trade opportunity for FINANCIAL SELECT SECTOR SPDR (XLF) for the 1-Mar-2019 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

XLF was recently trading at $26.29 and has an implied volatility of 14.91% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for XLF expiring on 1-Mar-2019, there is a 35.18% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $26.30-$27.14 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 40.56%.

Trending on StockTwits: StockTwits® is a financial communications platform for the financial and investing community. On their site, FINANCIAL SELECT SECTOR SPDR was recently trending, indicating that breaking news and/or market activity has significantly impacted sentiment toward the stock. This movement can be interpretted as a sign of more near-term price movement for the underlying.

Trade approach: The recent sentiment change in XLF on StockTwits appears to be moderately positive, indicating that the stock is likely to follow in that direction for investors trading on sentiment. As a result, a bullish strategy could prove effective if the sentiment ultimately turns out to drive trading.

Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if FINANCIAL SELECT SECTOR SPDR closed at or above $26.19 on 1-Mar-2019. Based on our analysis, there is a 56.22% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 2/15/2019 10:44:20 AM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.