Category Archives: Trade Ideas

52-Week High Alert: Trading today’s movement in VAIL RESORTS $MTN

The automated Quantcha Trade Ideas Service has detected a promising Bull Put Spread trade opportunity for VAIL RESORTS (MTN) for the 15-Sep-2017 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

MTN was recently trading at $222.36 and has an implied volatility of 15.64% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for MTN expiring on 15-Sep-2017, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $223.05-$231.81 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 32.78%.

52 week high: VAIL RESORTS recently reached a new 52-week high at $223.06. MTN had traded in the range $151.60-$222.08 over the past year.

Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week high is a bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if MTN maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $222.36 on 15-Sep-2017. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.

Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if VAIL RESORTS closes at or above $222.75 on 15-Sep-2017. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 51.42% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 8/23/2017 1:14:43 PM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

StockTwits Trending Alert: Trading recent interest in ULTA BEAUTY INC $ULTA

The automated Quantcha Trade Ideas Service has detected a promising Bull Call Spread trade opportunity for ULTA BEAUTY INC (ULTA) for the 1-Sep-2017 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

ULTA was recently trading at $231.03 and has an implied volatility of 68.60% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for ULTA expiring on 1-Sep-2017, there is a 34.86% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $231.07-$258.19 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 72.00%.

Trending on StockTwits: StockTwits® is a financial communications platform for the financial and investing community. On their site, ULTA BEAUTY INC was recently trending, indicating that breaking news and/or market activity has significantly impacted sentiment toward the stock. This movement can be interpretted as a sign of more near-term price movement for the underlying.

Trade approach: The recent sentiment change in ULTA on StockTwits appears to be moderately positive, indicating that the stock is likely to follow in that direction for investors trading on sentiment. As a result, a bullish strategy could prove effective if the sentiment ultimately turns out to drive trading.

Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if ULTA BEAUTY INC closed at or above $230.60 on 1-Sep-2017. Based on our analysis, there is a 51.46% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 8/23/2017 1:14:24 PM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

Big Loser Alert: Trading today’s -16.6% move in PETMED EXPRESS $PETS

The automated Quantcha Trade Ideas Service has detected a promising Bear Put Spread trade opportunity for PETMED EXPRESS (PETS) for the 20-Oct-2017 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

PETS was recently trading at $32.88 and has an implied volatility of 64.65% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for PETS expiring on 20-Oct-2017, there is a 34.13% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $24.94-$32.98 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 42.55%.

Big -16.57% Change: After closing the last trading session at $39.41, PETMED EXPRESS opened today at $39.19 and has reached a low of $31.92.

Trade approach: A movement as big as -16.57% is a significantly bearish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if PETS maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bullish side of $32.88 on 20-Oct-2017. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.

Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if PETMED EXPRESS closes at or below $33.40 on 20-Oct-2017. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 51.80% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 8/23/2017 1:14:23 PM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

52-Week High Alert: Trading today’s movement in PUBLIC SERVICE ENTERPRISE $PEG

The automated Quantcha Trade Ideas Service has detected a promising Synthetic Long Stock trade opportunity for PUBLIC SERVICE ENTERPRISE (PEG) for the 20-Oct-2017 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

PEG was recently trading at $47.11 and has an implied volatility of 9.99% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for PEG expiring on 20-Oct-2017, there is a 34.13% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $46.92-$49.46 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 12.87%.

52 week high: PUBLIC SERVICE ENTERPRISE recently reached a new 52-week high at $47.26. PEG had traded in the range $39.28-$46.95 over the past year.

Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week high is a bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if PEG maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $47.11 on 20-Oct-2017. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.

Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if PUBLIC SERVICE ENTERPRISE closes at or above $46.85 on 20-Oct-2017. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 51.07% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 8/23/2017 1:14:23 PM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

Big Gainer Alert: Trading today’s 8.4% move in E.L.F. BEAUTY INC $ELF

The automated Quantcha Trade Ideas Service has detected a promising Bull Call Spread trade opportunity for E.L.F. BEAUTY INC (ELF) for the 20-Oct-2017 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

ELF was recently trading at $21.01 and has an implied volatility of 29.36% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for ELF expiring on 20-Oct-2017, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $21.11-$24.76 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 46.05%.

Big 8.44% Change: After closing the last trading session at $19.37, E.L.F. BEAUTY INC opened today at $19.51 and has reached a high of $21.03.

Trade approach: A movement as big as 8.44% is a significantly bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if ELF maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $21.01 on 20-Oct-2017. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.

Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if E.L.F. BEAUTY INC closes at or above $20.70 on 20-Oct-2017. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 54.88% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 8/23/2017 1:07:26 PM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

StockTwits Trending Alert: Trading recent interest in CADENCE DESIGN SYSTEMS $CDNS

The automated Quantcha Trade Ideas Service has detected a promising Bear Put Spread trade opportunity for CADENCE DESIGN SYSTEMS (CDNS) for the 15-Sep-2017 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

CDNS was recently trading at $37.46 and has an implied volatility of 17.87% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for CDNS expiring on 15-Sep-2017, there is a 31.32% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $35.95-$37.46 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 42.04%.

Trending on StockTwits: StockTwits® is a financial communications platform for the financial and investing community. On their site, CADENCE DESIGN SYSTEMS was recently trending, indicating that breaking news and/or market activity has significantly impacted sentiment toward the stock. This movement can be interpretted as a sign of more near-term price movement for the underlying.

Trade approach: The recent sentiment change in CDNS on StockTwits appears to be significantly negative, indicating that the stock is likely to follow in that direction for investors trading on sentiment. As a result, a bearish strategy could prove effective if the sentiment ultimately turns out to drive trading.

Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if CADENCE DESIGN SYSTEMS closed at or below $37.65 on 15-Sep-2017. Based on our analysis, there is a 51.87% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 8/23/2017 1:07:27 PM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

Price Target Alert: Trading the Zacks price target change for KONINKLIJKE PHILIPS $PHG

The automated Quantcha Trade Ideas Service has detected a promising Long Iron Condor trade opportunity for KONINKLIJKE PHILIPS (PHG) for the 16-Mar-2018 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

PHG was recently trading at $37.84 and has an implied volatility of 21.19% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for PHG expiring on 16-Mar-2018, there is a 46.54% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $34.83-$42.57 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 11.05%.

Price target: Zacks Research has updated their six-month price target for PHG to $38.70. This price target is a consensus price created from the price targets published by 1 participating analysts whose targets ranged from $38.70 to $38.70.

Mean recommendation: Zacks normalizes analyst recommendations to a 1-5 scale where 1 indicates a strong buy. Their mean recommendation for PHG has been updated to 2.67, which indicates a hold consensus from analysts. Sentiment has moved from 2.67 to 2.67 to 2.67 over the past three months.

Trade approach: The difference between the current price for PHG and the mean price target is $0.86, which represents a 2.27% move (4.66% annualized). Since the 180-day implied volatility for PHG is 21.16%, a neutral range-bound strategy could prove effective if the price target ultimately turns out to be accurate.

Upside potential: Using this neutral range-bound strategy, the trade would be profitable if KONINKLIJKE PHILIPS closed in the range $34.50-$45.50 on 16-Mar-2018. Based on our analysis, there is a 59.75% likelihood of this return. The maximum return for this trade would be 11.11% if KONINKLIJKE PHILIPS closed in the range $35.00-$45.00.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 8/23/2017 12:57:52 PM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

Price Target Alert: Trading the Zacks price target change for FORD MOTOR $F

The automated Quantcha Trade Ideas Service has detected a promising Bull Call Spread trade opportunity for FORD MOTOR (F) for the 16-Mar-2018 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

F was recently trading at $10.75 and has an implied volatility of 18.84% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for F expiring on 16-Mar-2018, there is a 22.19% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $11.80-$14.43 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 252.12%.

Price target: Zacks Research has updated their six-month price target for F to $13.12. This price target is a consensus price created from the price targets published by 13 participating analysts whose targets ranged from $9.00 to $17.00.

Mean recommendation: Zacks normalizes analyst recommendations to a 1-5 scale where 1 indicates a strong buy. Their mean recommendation for F has been updated to 2.56, which indicates a hold consensus from analysts. Sentiment has moved from 2.50 to 2.53 to 2.53 over the past three months.

Trade approach: The difference between the current price for F and the mean price target is $2.25, which represents a 22.00% move (49.66% annualized). Since the 180-day implied volatility for F is 22.64%, a bullish strategy could prove effective if the price target ultimately turns out to be accurate.

Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if FORD MOTOR closed at or above $11.50 on 16-Mar-2018. Based on our analysis, there is a 30.52% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 8/23/2017 12:57:24 PM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

Price Target Alert: Trading the Zacks price target change for SHIRE $SHPG

The automated Quantcha Trade Ideas Service has detected a promising Long Call trade opportunity for SHIRE (SHPG) for the 20-Apr-2018 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

SHPG was recently trading at $143.44 and has an implied volatility of 26.67% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for SHPG expiring on 20-Apr-2018, there is a 5.00% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $206.46-$252.34 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 1548.32%.

Price target: Zacks Research has updated their six-month price target for SHPG to $229.40. This price target is a consensus price created from the price targets published by 10 participating analysts whose targets ranged from $159.00 to $325.00.

Mean recommendation: Zacks normalizes analyst recommendations to a 1-5 scale where 1 indicates a strong buy. Their mean recommendation for SHPG has been updated to 1.46, which indicates a strong buy consensus from analysts. Sentiment has moved from 1.40 to 1.50 to 1.50 over the past three months.

Trade approach: The difference between the current price for SHPG and the mean price target is $83.06, which represents a 59.93% move (159.13% annualized). Since the 180-day implied volatility for SHPG is 26.86%, a bullish strategy could prove effective if the price target ultimately turns out to be accurate.

Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if SHIRE closed at or above $196.65 on 20-Apr-2018. Based on our analysis, there is a 8.59% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 8/23/2017 12:56:57 PM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

StockTwits Trending Alert: Trading recent interest in GNC ACQUISITION HOLDINGS $GNC

The automated Quantcha Trade Ideas Service has detected a promising Bear Call Spread trade opportunity for GNC ACQUISITION HOLDINGS (GNC) for the 15-Sep-2017 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

GNC was recently trading at $8.18 and has an implied volatility of 67.52% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for GNC expiring on 15-Sep-2017, there is a 36.21% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $6.80-$8.19 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 28.91%.

Trending on StockTwits: StockTwits® is a financial communications platform for the financial and investing community. On their site, GNC ACQUISITION HOLDINGS was recently trending, indicating that breaking news and/or market activity has significantly impacted sentiment toward the stock. This movement can be interpretted as a sign of more near-term price movement for the underlying.

Trade approach: The recent sentiment change in GNC on StockTwits appears to be moderately negative, indicating that the stock is likely to follow in that direction for investors trading on sentiment. As a result, a bearish strategy could prove effective if the sentiment ultimately turns out to drive trading.

Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if GNC ACQUISITION HOLDINGS closed at or below $8.20 on 15-Sep-2017. Based on our analysis, there is a 52.49% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 8/23/2017 12:56:40 PM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.