Category Archives: Trade Ideas

Price Target Alert: Trading the Zacks price target change for PAYPAL HOLDINGS CORP $PYPL

The automated Quantcha Trade Ideas Service has detected a promising Long Iron Condor trade opportunity for PAYPAL HOLDINGS CORP (PYPL) for the 20-Apr-2018 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

PYPL was recently trading at $60.01 and has an implied volatility of 26.87% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for PYPL expiring on 20-Apr-2018, there is a 35.43% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $55.07-$67.30 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 123.21%.

Price target: Zacks Research has updated their six-month price target for PYPL to $61.19. This price target is a consensus price created from the price targets published by 27 participating analysts whose targets ranged from $40.00 to $73.00.

Mean recommendation: Zacks normalizes analyst recommendations to a 1-5 scale where 1 indicates a strong buy. Their mean recommendation for PYPL has been updated to 1.65, which indicates a buy consensus from analysts. Sentiment has moved from 1.73 to 1.77 to 1.69 over the past three months.

Trade approach: The difference between the current price for PYPL and the mean price target is $3.99, which represents a 1.96% move (4.01% annualized). Since the 180-day implied volatility for PYPL is 26.22%, a neutral range-bound strategy could prove effective if the price target ultimately turns out to be accurate.

Upside potential: Using this neutral range-bound strategy, the trade would be profitable if PAYPAL HOLDINGS CORP closed in the range $55.01-$67.49 on 20-Apr-2018. Based on our analysis, there is a 36.05% likelihood of this return. The maximum return for this trade would be 198.80% if PAYPAL HOLDINGS CORP closed in the range $60.00-$62.50.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 8/22/2017 10:25:56 AM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

Price Target Alert: Trading the Zacks price target change for ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LIMITED $BABA

The automated Quantcha Trade Ideas Service has detected a promising Long Call Condor trade opportunity for ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LIMITED (BABA) for the 20-Apr-2018 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

BABA was recently trading at $171.53 and has an implied volatility of 31.28% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for BABA expiring on 20-Apr-2018, there is a 31.05% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $156.88-$191.74 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 155.77%.

Price target: Zacks Research has updated their six-month price target for BABA to $174.31. This price target is a consensus price created from the price targets published by 16 participating analysts whose targets ranged from $97.00 to $220.00.

Mean recommendation: Zacks normalizes analyst recommendations to a 1-5 scale where 1 indicates a strong buy. Their mean recommendation for BABA has been updated to 1.15, which indicates a strong buy consensus from analysts. Sentiment has moved from 1.14 to 1.16 to 1.16 over the past three months.

Trade approach: The difference between the current price for BABA and the mean price target is $11.97, which represents a 1.62% move (3.32% annualized). Since the 180-day implied volatility for BABA is 30.78%, a neutral range-bound strategy could prove effective if the price target ultimately turns out to be accurate.

Upside potential: Using this neutral range-bound strategy, the trade would be profitable if ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LIMITED closed in the range $156.10-$193.90 on 20-Apr-2018. Based on our analysis, there is a 33.40% likelihood of this return. The maximum return for this trade would be 227.87% if ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LIMITED closed in the range $170.00-$180.00.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 8/22/2017 10:25:39 AM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

StockTwits Trending Alert: Trading recent interest in LOWE'S COMPANIES $LOW

The automated Quantcha Trade Ideas Service has detected a promising Bear Call Spread trade opportunity for LOWE'S COMPANIES (LOW) for the 1-Sep-2017 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

LOW was recently trading at $75.24 and has an implied volatility of 39.95% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for LOW expiring on 1-Sep-2017, there is a 32.90% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $70.49-$75.24 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 80.44%.

Trending on StockTwits: StockTwits® is a financial communications platform for the financial and investing community. On their site, LOWE'S COMPANIES was recently trending, indicating that breaking news and/or market activity has significantly impacted sentiment toward the stock. This movement can be interpretted as a sign of more near-term price movement for the underlying.

Trade approach: The recent sentiment change in LOW on StockTwits appears to be significantly negative, indicating that the stock is likely to follow in that direction for investors trading on sentiment. As a result, a bearish strategy could prove effective if the sentiment ultimately turns out to drive trading.

Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if LOWE'S COMPANIES closed at or below $75.43 on 1-Sep-2017. Based on our analysis, there is a 50.30% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 8/22/2017 10:25:23 AM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

Big Loser Alert: Trading today’s -8.4% move in E.L.F. BEAUTY INC $ELF

The automated Quantcha Trade Ideas Service has detected a promising Covered Put trade opportunity for E.L.F. BEAUTY INC (ELF) for the 20-Oct-2017 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

ELF was recently trading at $21.14 and has an implied volatility of 40.78% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for ELF expiring on 20-Oct-2017, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $18.34-$21.25 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 15.58%.

Big -8.37% Change: After closing the last trading session at $23.07, E.L.F. BEAUTY INC opened today at $23.00 and has reached a low of $20.83.

Trade approach: A movement as big as -8.37% is a significantly bearish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if ELF maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bullish side of $21.14 on 20-Oct-2017. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.

Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if E.L.F. BEAUTY INC closes at or below $21.83 on 20-Oct-2017. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 57.24% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 8/22/2017 10:25:23 AM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

Covered Call Alert: NEUROCRINE BIOSCIENCES $NBIX returning up to 28.78% through 16-Feb-2018

The automated Quantcha Trade Ideas Service has detected a promising Covered Call trade opportunity for NEUROCRINE BIOSCIENCES (NBIX) for the 16-Feb-2018 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

NBIX was recently trading at $51.87 and has an implied volatility of 56.10% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for NBIX expiring on 16-Feb-2018, there is a 68.27% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $36.08-$75.89 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 10.30%.

Moneyness: These options are currently 15.72% out of the money and there is a 37.46% likelihood that these options will be exercised before or at expiration.

Most upside: If NEUROCRINE BIOSCIENCES closes at or above $60.00, this trade could return up to 28.78%. Based on our analysis, there is a 35.64% likelihood of this return.

The downside: As with any covered call, the risk is substantial as it is vulnerable to a downturn in the underlying itself. There is a 37.73% chance the underlying will close at or below its breakeven price of $46.59, resulting in a net loss on the trade.

To find the best covered calls on the market, be sure to check out Quantcha’s covered call screener.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 8/22/2017 10:25:23 AM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

52-Week Low Alert: Trading today’s movement in NEWFIELD EXPLORATION $NFX

The automated Quantcha Trade Ideas Service has detected a promising Bear Call Spread trade opportunity for NEWFIELD EXPLORATION (NFX) for the 20-Oct-2017 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

NFX was recently trading at $24.89 and has an implied volatility of 37.36% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for NFX expiring on 20-Oct-2017, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $21.47-$24.99 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 53.61%.

52 week low: NEWFIELD EXPLORATION recently reached a new 52-week low at $24.62. NFX had traded in the range $24.91-$50.00 over the past year.

Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week low is a bearish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if NFX maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bullish side of $24.89 on 20-Oct-2017. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.

Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if NEWFIELD EXPLORATION closes at or below $25.15 on 20-Oct-2017. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 51.69% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 8/22/2017 10:10:14 AM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

Big Gainer Alert: Trading today’s 8.8% move in NORTHERN DYNASTY MINERALS $NAK

The automated Quantcha Trade Ideas Service has detected a promising Covered Call trade opportunity for NORTHERN DYNASTY MINERALS (NAK) for the 20-Oct-2017 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

NAK was recently trading at $1.60 and has an implied volatility of 108.86% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for NAK expiring on 20-Oct-2017, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $1.60-$2.47 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 26.96%.

Big 8.84% Change: After closing the last trading session at $1.47, NORTHERN DYNASTY MINERALS opened today at $1.58 and has reached a high of $1.60.

Trade approach: A movement as big as 8.84% is a significantly bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if NAK maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $1.60 on 20-Oct-2017. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.

Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if NORTHERN DYNASTY MINERALS closes at or above $1.55 on 20-Oct-2017. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 53.09% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 8/22/2017 10:08:13 AM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

52-Week Low Alert: Trading today’s movement in PIONEER NATURAL RESOURCES $PXD

The automated Quantcha Trade Ideas Service has detected a promising Bear Call Spread trade opportunity for PIONEER NATURAL RESOURCES (PXD) for the 20-Oct-2017 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

PXD was recently trading at $127.97 and has an implied volatility of 30.95% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for PXD expiring on 20-Oct-2017, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $113.44-$128.68 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 41.69%.

52 week low: PIONEER NATURAL RESOURCES recently reached a new 52-week low at $127.97. PXD had traded in the range $128.50-$199.83 over the past year.

Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week low is a bearish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if PXD maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bullish side of $127.97 on 20-Oct-2017. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.

Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if PIONEER NATURAL RESOURCES closes at or below $129.75 on 20-Oct-2017. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 52.62% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 8/22/2017 10:08:04 AM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

Big Gainer Alert: Trading today’s 7.4% move in MAZOR ROBOTICS LTD. AMERICAN D $MZOR

The automated Quantcha Trade Ideas Service has detected a promising Covered Call trade opportunity for MAZOR ROBOTICS LTD. AMERICAN D (MZOR) for the 20-Oct-2017 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

MZOR was recently trading at $38.93 and has an implied volatility of 53.35% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for MZOR expiring on 20-Oct-2017, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $39.17-$48.12 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 10.58%.

Big 7.40% Change: After closing the last trading session at $36.25, MAZOR ROBOTICS LTD. AMERICAN D opened today at $38.10 and has reached a high of $39.06.

Trade approach: A movement as big as 7.40% is a significantly bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if MZOR maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $38.93 on 20-Oct-2017. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.

Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if MAZOR ROBOTICS LTD. AMERICAN D closes at or above $39.01 on 20-Oct-2017. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 50.82% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 8/22/2017 10:07:47 AM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

52-Week High Alert: Trading today’s movement in CROWN CASTLE $CCI

The automated Quantcha Trade Ideas Service has detected a promising Bull Put Spread trade opportunity for CROWN CASTLE (CCI) for the 15-Sep-2017 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

CCI was recently trading at $105.27 and has an implied volatility of 13.70% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for CCI expiring on 15-Sep-2017, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $104.67-$109.19 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 29.46%.

52 week high: CROWN CASTLE recently reached a new 52-week high at $105.36. CCI had traded in the range $79.38-$105.05 over the past year.

Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week high is a bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if CCI maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $105.27 on 15-Sep-2017. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.

Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if CROWN CASTLE closes at or above $103.85 on 15-Sep-2017. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 57.37% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 8/22/2017 10:07:48 AM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.