Category Archives: Trade Ideas

Synthetic Long Discount Alert: TILRAY INC. CLASS 2 COMMON STOCK $TLRY trading at a 9.95% discount for the 15-Jan-2021 expiration

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Quantchabot has detected a promising Synthetic Long Stock trade opportunity for TILRAY INC. CLASS 2 COMMON STOCK (TLRY) for the 15-Jan-2021 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

TLRY was recently trading at $42.73 and has an implied volatility of 53.94% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for TLRY expiring on 15-Jan-2021, there is a 68.27% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $18.20-$107.94 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 55.88%.

Upside potential: This synthetic long position offers the same potential benefits and liabilities as a long stock position, but at a discount due to the significant premium at-the-money puts are trading at over calls. In this case, the put position is opened at a strike of $45.00, which is already $2.27 in-the-money. However, its sale more than offsets this moneyness and the cost of the long call that the trade results in a net credit of of $6.55 per share. The final position can be considered as having a discount of $4.28 per share over the underlying price of $42.73 for a 10.02% total.

Downside risk: This discount is generally a sign of the stock facing considerable short pressure, and may indicate that the stock has become hard to borrow. However, if you have a long view of the underlying over this period, it could be a good opportunity to benefit from the upside at a major discount.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 6/19/2019 2:41:08 PM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

StockTwits Trending Alert: Trading recent interest in WELLS FARGO $WFC

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Quantchabot has detected a promising Bull Put Spread trade opportunity for WELLS FARGO (WFC) for the 28-Jun-2019 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

WFC was recently trading at $46.33 and has an implied volatility of 23.10% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for WFC expiring on 28-Jun-2019, there is a 34.68% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $46.34-$48.09 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 68.93%.

Trending on StockTwits: StockTwits® is a financial communications platform for the financial and investing community. On their site, WELLS FARGO was recently trending, indicating that breaking news and/or market activity has significantly impacted sentiment toward the stock. This movement can be interpretted as a sign of more near-term price movement for the underlying.

Trade approach: The recent sentiment change in WFC on StockTwits appears to be significantly positive, indicating that the stock is likely to follow in that direction for investors trading on sentiment. As a result, a bullish strategy could prove effective if the sentiment ultimately turns out to drive trading.

Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if WELLS FARGO closed at or above $46.29 on 28-Jun-2019. Based on our analysis, there is a 51.60% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 6/19/2019 2:41:10 PM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

Big Loser Alert: Trading today’s -8.1% move in GLOBAL CORD BLOOD CORP $CO

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Quantchabot has detected a promising Covered Put trade opportunity for GLOBAL CORD BLOOD CORP (CO) for the 19-Jul-2019 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

CO was recently trading at $5.30 and has an implied volatility of 44.64% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for CO expiring on 19-Jul-2019, there is a 34.15% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $4.59-$5.31 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 14.21%.

Big -8.15% Change: After closing the last trading session at $5.77, GLOBAL CORD BLOOD CORP opened today at $6.00 and has reached a low of $4.82.

Trade approach: A movement as big as -8.15% is a significantly bearish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if CO maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bullish side of $5.30 on 19-Jul-2019. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.

Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if GLOBAL CORD BLOOD CORP closes at or below $5.43 on 19-Jul-2019. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 56.07% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 6/19/2019 2:41:06 PM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

52-Week High Alert: Trading today’s movement in S & P GLOBAL INC $SPGI

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Quantchabot has detected a promising Bull Call Spread trade opportunity for S & P GLOBAL INC (SPGI) for the 19-Jul-2019 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

SPGI was recently trading at $229.16 and has an implied volatility of 16.63% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for SPGI expiring on 19-Jul-2019, there is a 34.15% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $229.62-$241.23 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 35.01%.

52 week high: S & P GLOBAL INC recently reached a new 52-week high at $229.33. SPGI had traded in the range $156.68-$229.00 over the past year.

Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week high is a bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if SPGI maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $229.16 on 19-Jul-2019. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.

Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if S & P GLOBAL INC closes at or above $227.40 on 19-Jul-2019. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 57.81% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 6/19/2019 2:41:08 PM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

StockTwits Trending Alert: Trading recent interest in MICROSOFT $MSFT

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Quantchabot has detected a promising Bull Call Spread trade opportunity for MICROSOFT (MSFT) for the 28-Jun-2019 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

MSFT was recently trading at $134.14 and has an implied volatility of 19.59% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for MSFT expiring on 28-Jun-2019, there is a 34.97% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $134.14-$138.45 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 67.60%.

Trending on StockTwits: StockTwits® is a financial communications platform for the financial and investing community. On their site, MICROSOFT was recently trending, indicating that breaking news and/or market activity has significantly impacted sentiment toward the stock. This movement can be interpretted as a sign of more near-term price movement for the underlying.

Trade approach: The recent sentiment change in MSFT on StockTwits appears to be moderately positive, indicating that the stock is likely to follow in that direction for investors trading on sentiment. As a result, a bullish strategy could prove effective if the sentiment ultimately turns out to drive trading.

Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if MICROSOFT closed at or above $134.13 on 28-Jun-2019. Based on our analysis, there is a 50.88% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 6/19/2019 2:40:32 PM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

52-Week High Alert: Trading today’s movement in AMERICAN EXPRESS $AXP

Quantcha now offering unlimited commission-free options trading.

Quantchabot has detected a promising Bull Put Spread trade opportunity for AMERICAN EXPRESS (AXP) for the 12-Jul-2019 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

AXP was recently trading at $124.67 and has an implied volatility of 16.12% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for AXP expiring on 12-Jul-2019, there is a 34.15% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $124.47-$130.02 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 61.28%.

52 week high: AMERICAN EXPRESS recently reached a new 52-week high at $124.78. AXP had traded in the range $89.05-$124.74 over the past year.

Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week high is a bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if AXP maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $124.67 on 12-Jul-2019. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.

Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if AMERICAN EXPRESS closes at or above $124.22 on 12-Jul-2019. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 51.85% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 6/19/2019 2:40:32 PM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

Big Gainer Alert: Trading today’s 7.8% move in NABORS INDUSTRIES $NBR

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Quantchabot has detected a promising Bull Put Spread trade opportunity for NABORS INDUSTRIES (NBR) for the 26-Jul-2019 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

NBR was recently trading at $2.42 and has an implied volatility of 83.35% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for NBR expiring on 26-Jul-2019, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $2.42-$3.19 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 45.28%.

Big 7.81% Change: After closing the last trading session at $2.24, NABORS INDUSTRIES opened today at $2.35 and has reached a high of $2.48.

Trade approach: A movement as big as 7.81% is a significantly bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if NBR maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $2.42 on 26-Jul-2019. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.

Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if NABORS INDUSTRIES closes at or above $2.34 on 26-Jul-2019. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 54.92% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 6/19/2019 2:40:31 PM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

Synthetic Long Discount Alert: BP PRUDHOE BAY $BPT trading at a 11.70% discount for the 20-Dec-2019 expiration

Quantcha now offering unlimited commission-free options trading.

Quantchabot has detected a promising Synthetic Long Stock trade opportunity for BP PRUDHOE BAY (BPT) for the 20-Dec-2019 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

BPT was recently trading at $15.35 and has an implied volatility of 24.94% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for BPT expiring on 20-Dec-2019, there is a 68.27% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $10.67-$22.61 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 56.13%.

Upside potential: This synthetic long position offers the same potential benefits and liabilities as a long stock position, but at a discount due to the significant premium at-the-money puts are trading at over calls. In this case, the long call position is opened at a strike of $15.00, which is already $0.35 in the money. An out-of-the-money put at the same strike is sold to finance the call, resulting in a net credit of $1.45 per share. The final position can be considered as having a discount of $1.80 per share over the underlying price of $15.35 for a 11.73% total.

Downside risk: This discount is generally a sign of the stock facing considerable short pressure, and may indicate that the stock has become hard to borrow. However, if you have a long view of the underlying over this period, it could be a good opportunity to benefit from the upside at a major discount.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 6/19/2019 2:40:31 PM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

Big Gainer Alert: Trading today’s 7.5% move in LA-Z-BOY $LZB

Quantcha now offering unlimited commission-free options trading.

Quantchabot has detected a promising Bull Call Spread trade opportunity for LA-Z-BOY (LZB) for the 19-Jul-2019 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

LZB was recently trading at $32.02 and has an implied volatility of 37.06% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for LZB expiring on 19-Jul-2019, there is a 34.15% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $32.09-$35.48 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 16.15%.

Big 7.49% Change: After closing the last trading session at $29.79, LA-Z-BOY opened today at $27.91 and has reached a high of $32.30.

Trade approach: A movement as big as 7.49% is a significantly bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if LZB maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $32.02 on 19-Jul-2019. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.

Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if LA-Z-BOY closes at or above $32.05 on 19-Jul-2019. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 50.44% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 6/19/2019 12:46:51 PM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.

StockTwits Trending Alert: Trading recent interest in DARDEN RESTAURANTS $DRI

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Quantchabot has detected a promising Bear Call Spread trade opportunity for DARDEN RESTAURANTS (DRI) for the 19-Jul-2019 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

DRI was recently trading at $116.15 and has an implied volatility of 28.48% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for DRI expiring on 19-Jul-2019, there is a 33.25% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $106.56-$116.15 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 66.64%.

Trending on StockTwits: StockTwits® is a financial communications platform for the financial and investing community. On their site, DARDEN RESTAURANTS was recently trending, indicating that breaking news and/or market activity has significantly impacted sentiment toward the stock. This movement can be interpretted as a sign of more near-term price movement for the underlying.

Trade approach: The recent sentiment change in DRI on StockTwits appears to be significantly negative, indicating that the stock is likely to follow in that direction for investors trading on sentiment. As a result, a bearish strategy could prove effective if the sentiment ultimately turns out to drive trading.

Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if DARDEN RESTAURANTS closed at or below $117.05 on 19-Jul-2019. Based on our analysis, there is a 52.60% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 6/19/2019 12:46:13 PM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.