Big Loser Alert: Trading today’s -8.5% move in ENVISTA HOLDINGS CORP $NVST

Quantchabot has detected a promising Bear Call Spread trade opportunity for ENVISTA HOLDINGS CORP (NVST) for the 20-Jan-2023 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

NVST was recently trading at $32.80 and has an implied volatility of 36.34% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for NVST expiring on 20-Jan-2023, there is a 34.19% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $28.78-$32.99 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 52.08%.

Big -8.53% Change: After closing the last trading session at $35.86, ENVISTA HOLDINGS CORP opened today at $35.83 and has reached a low of $32.70.

Trade approach: A movement as big as -8.53% is a significantly bearish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if NVST maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bullish side of $32.80 on 20-Jan-2023. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.

Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if ENVISTA HOLDINGS CORP closes at or below $33.05 on 20-Jan-2023. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 50.50% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

52-Week High Alert: Trading today’s movement in ARCH CAPITAL GROUP $ACGL

Quantchabot has detected a promising Bull Put Spread trade opportunity for ARCH CAPITAL GROUP (ACGL) for the 20-Jan-2023 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

ACGL was recently trading at $58.98 and has an implied volatility of 25.68% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for ACGL expiring on 20-Jan-2023, there is a 34.18% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $59.33-$65.35 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 39.49%.

52 week high: ARCH CAPITAL GROUP recently reached a new 52-week high at $59.16. ACGL had traded in the range $40.24-$59.14 over the past year.

Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week high is a bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if ACGL maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $58.98 on 20-Jan-2023. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.

Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if ARCH CAPITAL GROUP closes at or above $58.55 on 20-Jan-2023. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 55.44% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

StockTwits Trending Alert: Trading recent interest in AVADEL PHARMACEUTICALS PLC ADR $AVDL

Quantchabot has detected a promising Bull Call Spread trade opportunity for AVADEL PHARMACEUTICALS PLC ADR (AVDL) for the 19-Jan-2024 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

AVDL was recently trading at $9.08 and has an implied volatility of 92.46% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for AVDL expiring on 19-Jan-2024, there is a 36.24% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $9.12-$25.75 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 111.29%.

Trending on StockTwits: StockTwits® is a financial communications platform for the financial and investing community. On their site, AVADEL PHARMACEUTICALS PLC ADR was recently trending, indicating that breaking news and/or market activity has significantly impacted sentiment toward the stock. This movement can be interpretted as a sign of more near-term price movement for the underlying.

Trade approach: The recent sentiment change in AVDL on StockTwits appears to be significantly positive, indicating that the stock is likely to follow in that direction for investors trading on sentiment. As a result, a bullish strategy could prove effective if the sentiment ultimately turns out to drive trading.

Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if AVADEL PHARMACEUTICALS PLC ADR closed at or above $8.90 on 19-Jan-2024. Based on our analysis, there is a 53.06% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

Synthetic Long Discount Alert: SYMBOTIC INC. CLASS A COMMON STOCK $SYM trading at a 10.09% discount for the 19-May-2023 expiration

Quantchabot has detected a promising Synthetic Long Stock trade opportunity for SYMBOTIC INC. CLASS A COMMON STOCK (SYM) for the 19-May-2023 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

SYM was recently trading at $10.90 and has an implied volatility of 93.60% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for SYM expiring on 19-May-2023, there is a 68.30% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $5.87-$21.11 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 57.15%.

Upside potential: This synthetic long position offers the same potential benefits and liabilities as a long stock position, but at a discount due to the significant premium at-the-money puts are trading at over calls. In this case, the long call position is opened at a strike of $10.00, which is already $0.90 in the money. An out-of-the-money put at the same strike is sold to finance the call, resulting in a net credit of $0.20 per share. The final position can be considered as having a discount of $1.10 per share over the underlying price of $10.90 for a 10.09% total.

Downside risk: This discount is generally a sign of the stock facing considerable short pressure, and may indicate that the stock has become hard to borrow. However, if you have a long view of the underlying over this period, it could be a good opportunity to benefit from the upside at a major discount.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

StockTwits Trending Alert: Trading recent interest in VALE $VALE

Quantchabot has detected a promising Covered Put trade opportunity for VALE (VALE) for the 17-Jan-2025 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

VALE was recently trading at $16.36 and has an implied volatility of 40.35% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for VALE expiring on 17-Jan-2025, there is a 27.10% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $10.07-$16.36 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 245.73%.

Trending on StockTwits: StockTwits® is a financial communications platform for the financial and investing community. On their site, VALE was recently trending, indicating that breaking news and/or market activity has significantly impacted sentiment toward the stock. This movement can be interpretted as a sign of more near-term price movement for the underlying.

Trade approach: The recent sentiment change in VALE on StockTwits appears to be moderately negative, indicating that the stock is likely to follow in that direction for investors trading on sentiment. As a result, a bearish strategy could prove effective if the sentiment ultimately turns out to drive trading.

Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if VALE closed at or below $23.80 on 17-Jan-2025. Based on our analysis, there is a 67.68% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

Synthetic Long Discount Alert: LIVEWIRE GROUP INC $LVWR trading at a 12.84% discount for the 21-Apr-2023 expiration

Quantchabot has detected a promising Synthetic Long Stock trade opportunity for LIVEWIRE GROUP INC (LVWR) for the 21-Apr-2023 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

LVWR was recently trading at $6.31 and has an implied volatility of 145.16% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for LVWR expiring on 21-Apr-2023, there is a 68.30% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $2.59-$15.91 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 82.30%.

Upside potential: This synthetic long position offers the same potential benefits and liabilities as a long stock position, but at a discount due to the significant premium at-the-money puts are trading at over calls. In this case, the put position is opened at a strike of $7.50, which is already $1.19 in-the-money. However, its sale more than offsets this moneyness and the cost of the long call that the trade results in a net credit of of $2.00 per share. The final position can be considered as having a discount of $0.81 per share over the underlying price of $6.31 for a 12.84% total.

Downside risk: This discount is generally a sign of the stock facing considerable short pressure, and may indicate that the stock has become hard to borrow. However, if you have a long view of the underlying over this period, it could be a good opportunity to benefit from the upside at a major discount.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

StockTwits Trending Alert: Trading recent interest in CATERPILLAR $CAT

Quantchabot has detected a promising Short Risk Reversal trade opportunity for CATERPILLAR (CAT) for the 17-Jan-2025 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

CAT was recently trading at $232.68 and has an implied volatility of 32.64% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for CAT expiring on 17-Jan-2025, there is a 25.44% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $160.33-$232.61 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 129.59%.

Trending on StockTwits: StockTwits® is a financial communications platform for the financial and investing community. On their site, CATERPILLAR was recently trending, indicating that breaking news and/or market activity has significantly impacted sentiment toward the stock. This movement can be interpretted as a sign of more near-term price movement for the underlying.

Trade approach: The recent sentiment change in CAT on StockTwits appears to be moderately negative, indicating that the stock is likely to follow in that direction for investors trading on sentiment. As a result, a bearish strategy could prove effective if the sentiment ultimately turns out to drive trading.

Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if CATERPILLAR closed at or below $293.51 on 17-Jan-2025. Based on our analysis, there is a 60.55% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

StockTwits Trending Alert: Trading recent interest in HEWLETT PACKARD ENTERPRISE CO $HPE

Quantchabot has detected a promising Long Risk Reversal trade opportunity for HEWLETT PACKARD ENTERPRISE CO (HPE) for the 19-Jan-2024 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

HPE was recently trading at $16.05 and has an implied volatility of 33.48% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for HPE expiring on 19-Jan-2024, there is a 36.11% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $16.05-$23.36 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 92.71%.

Trending on StockTwits: StockTwits® is a financial communications platform for the financial and investing community. On their site, HEWLETT PACKARD ENTERPRISE CO was recently trending, indicating that breaking news and/or market activity has significantly impacted sentiment toward the stock. This movement can be interpretted as a sign of more near-term price movement for the underlying.

Trade approach: The recent sentiment change in HPE on StockTwits appears to be moderately positive, indicating that the stock is likely to follow in that direction for investors trading on sentiment. As a result, a bullish strategy could prove effective if the sentiment ultimately turns out to drive trading.

Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if HEWLETT PACKARD ENTERPRISE CO closed at or above $16.05 on 19-Jan-2024. Based on our analysis, there is a 52.00% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

StockTwits Trending Alert: Trading recent interest in GENERAL ELECTRIC $GE

Quantchabot has detected a promising Long Risk Reversal trade opportunity for GENERAL ELECTRIC (GE) for the 19-Jan-2024 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

GE was recently trading at $84.79 and has an implied volatility of 35.04% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for GE expiring on 19-Jan-2024, there is a 40.07% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $84.79-$130.31 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 96.81%.

Trending on StockTwits: StockTwits® is a financial communications platform for the financial and investing community. On their site, GENERAL ELECTRIC was recently trending, indicating that breaking news and/or market activity has significantly impacted sentiment toward the stock. This movement can be interpretted as a sign of more near-term price movement for the underlying.

Trade approach: The recent sentiment change in GE on StockTwits appears to be moderately positive, indicating that the stock is likely to follow in that direction for investors trading on sentiment. As a result, a bullish strategy could prove effective if the sentiment ultimately turns out to drive trading.

Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if GENERAL ELECTRIC closed at or above $84.50 on 19-Jan-2024. Based on our analysis, there is a 56.29% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

Synthetic Long Discount Alert: ARQIT QUANTUM INC. ORDINARY SHARES $ARQQ trading at a 12.65% discount for the 21-Jul-2023 expiration

Quantchabot has detected a promising Synthetic Long Stock trade opportunity for ARQIT QUANTUM INC. ORDINARY SHARES (ARQQ) for the 21-Jul-2023 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

ARQQ was recently trading at $7.67 and has an implied volatility of 91.56% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for ARQQ expiring on 21-Jul-2023, there is a 68.29% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $3.80-$16.46 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 61.95%.

Upside potential: This synthetic long position offers the same potential benefits and liabilities as a long stock position, but at a discount due to the significant premium at-the-money puts are trading at over calls. In this case, the long call position is opened at a strike of $7.50, which is already $0.17 in the money. An out-of-the-money put at the same strike is sold to finance the call, resulting in a net credit of $0.80 per share. The final position can be considered as having a discount of $0.97 per share over the underlying price of $7.67 for a 12.65% total.

Downside risk: This discount is generally a sign of the stock facing considerable short pressure, and may indicate that the stock has become hard to borrow. However, if you have a long view of the underlying over this period, it could be a good opportunity to benefit from the upside at a major discount.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

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