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Quantchabot has detected a promising Short Risk Reversal trade opportunity for THE MICHAELS COMPANIES INC. C (MIK) for the 21-Feb-2020 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
MIK was recently trading at $7.34 and has an implied volatility of 72.18% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for MIK expiring on 21-Feb-2020, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $5.56-$7.36 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 37.72%.
Big -8.25% Change: After closing the last trading session at $8.00, THE MICHAELS COMPANIES INC. C opened today at $7.97 and has reached a low of $7.26.
Trade approach: A movement as big as -8.25% is a significantly bearish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if MIK maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bullish side of $7.34 on 21-Feb-2020. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if THE MICHAELS COMPANIES INC. C closes at or below $8.05 on 21-Feb-2020. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 62.57% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.