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Quantchabot has detected a promising Bull Put Spread trade opportunity for MEDTRONIC PLC (MDT) for the 14-Feb-2020 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
MDT was recently trading at $116.35 and has an implied volatility of 15.48% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for MDT expiring on 14-Feb-2020, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $116.55-$122.40 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 56.92%.
52 week high: MEDTRONIC PLC recently reached a new 52-week high at $116.49. MDT had traded in the range $81.66-$115.94 over the past year.
Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week high is a bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if MDT maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $116.35 on 14-Feb-2020. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if MEDTRONIC PLC closes at or above $116.26 on 14-Feb-2020. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 52.05% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.