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Quantchabot has detected a promising Synthetic Long Stock trade opportunity for TILRAY INC. CLASS 2 COMMON STOCK (TLRY) for the 15-Jan-2021 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
TLRY was recently trading at $7.92 and has an implied volatility of 39.04% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for TLRY expiring on 15-Jan-2021, there is a 68.27% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $1.95-$32.67 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 201.94%.
Upside potential: This synthetic long position offers the same potential benefits and liabilities as a long stock position, but at a discount due to the significant premium at-the-money puts are trading at over calls. In this case, the long call position is opened at a strike of $7.50, which is already $0.42 in the money. An out-of-the-money put at the same strike is sold to finance the call, resulting in a net credit of $2.85 per share. The final position can be considered as having a discount of $3.27 per share over the underlying price of $7.92 for a 41.25% total.
Downside risk: This discount is generally a sign of the stock facing considerable short pressure, and may indicate that the stock has become hard to borrow. However, if you have a long view of the underlying over this period, it could be a good opportunity to benefit from the upside at a major discount.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.