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Quantchabot has detected a promising Bull Call Spread trade opportunity for ILLINOIS TOOL WORKS (ITW) for the 14-Aug-2020 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
ITW was recently trading at $185.67 and has an implied volatility of 31.70% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for ITW expiring on 14-Aug-2020, there is a 34.17% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $185.67-$197.79 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 30.78%.
Trending on StockTwits: StockTwits® is a financial communications platform for the financial and investing community. On their site, ILLINOIS TOOL WORKS was recently trending, indicating that breaking news and/or market activity has significantly impacted sentiment toward the stock. This movement can be interpretted as a sign of more near-term price movement for the underlying.
Trade approach: The recent sentiment change in ITW on StockTwits appears to be significantly positive, indicating that the stock is likely to follow in that direction for investors trading on sentiment. As a result, a bullish strategy could prove effective if the sentiment ultimately turns out to drive trading.
Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if ILLINOIS TOOL WORKS closed at or above $185.60 on 14-Aug-2020. Based on our analysis, there is a 50.28% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.