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Quantchabot has detected a promising Bull Call Spread trade opportunity for HORIZON THERAPIES PUBLIC LTD (HZNP) for the 16-Oct-2020 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
HZNP was recently trading at $75.63 and has an implied volatility of 51.74% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for HZNP expiring on 16-Oct-2020, there is a 34.13% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $75.64-$88.22 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 67.69%.
Big 7.22% Change: After closing the last trading session at $70.54, HORIZON THERAPIES PUBLIC LTD opened today at $72.06 and has reached a high of $75.82.
Trade approach: A movement as big as 7.22% is a significantly bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if HZNP maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $75.63 on 16-Oct-2020. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if HORIZON THERAPIES PUBLIC LTD closes at or above $75.40 on 16-Oct-2020. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 50.82% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.