52-Week High Alert: Trading today’s movement in UNITED PARCEL SERVICE $UPS

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Quantchabot has detected a promising Bull Put Spread trade opportunity for UNITED PARCEL SERVICE (UPS) for the 16-Oct-2020 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

UPS was recently trading at $163.93 and has an implied volatility of 30.17% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for UPS expiring on 16-Oct-2020, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $163.95-$178.86 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 67.77%.

52 week high: UNITED PARCEL SERVICE recently reached a new 52-week high at $167.36. UPS had traded in the range $82.00-$166.20 over the past year.

Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week high is a bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if UPS maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $163.93 on 16-Oct-2020. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.

Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if UNITED PARCEL SERVICE closes at or above $162.95 on 16-Oct-2020. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 52.80% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.