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Quantchabot has detected a promising Short Risk Reversal trade opportunity for ARROWHEAD PHARMACEUTICALS INC. (ARWR) for the 16-Oct-2020 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
ARWR was recently trading at $47.43 and has an implied volatility of 79.83% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for ARWR expiring on 16-Oct-2020, there is a 34.11% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $37.74-$47.43 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 56.23%.
Trending on StockTwits: StockTwits® is a financial communications platform for the financial and investing community. On their site, ARROWHEAD PHARMACEUTICALS INC. was recently trending, indicating that breaking news and/or market activity has significantly impacted sentiment toward the stock. This movement can be interpretted as a sign of more near-term price movement for the underlying.
Trade approach: The recent sentiment change in ARWR on StockTwits appears to be moderately negative, indicating that the stock is likely to follow in that direction for investors trading on sentiment. As a result, a bearish strategy could prove effective if the sentiment ultimately turns out to drive trading.
Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if ARROWHEAD PHARMACEUTICALS INC. closed at or below $48.65 on 16-Oct-2020. Based on our analysis, there is a 54.40% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.