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Quantchabot has detected a promising Bull Put Spread trade opportunity for HUMANA (HUM) for the 30-Oct-2020 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
HUM was recently trading at $425.88 and has an implied volatility of 29.89% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for HUM expiring on 30-Oct-2020, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $425.92-$458.59 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 42.54%.
52 week high: HUMANA recently reached a new 52-week high at $434.06. HUM had traded in the range $208.25-$431.12 over the past year.
Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week high is a bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if HUM maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $425.88 on 30-Oct-2020. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if HUMANA closes at or above $423.80 on 30-Oct-2020. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 52.69% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.