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Quantchabot has detected a promising Long Risk Reversal trade opportunity for MONEYGRAM INTERNATIONAL (MGI) for the 15-Jan-2021 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
MGI was recently trading at $7.55 and has an implied volatility of 97.63% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for MGI expiring on 15-Jan-2021, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $7.55-$11.08 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 96.17%.
Big 7.55% Change: After closing the last trading session at $7.02, MONEYGRAM INTERNATIONAL opened today at $6.98 and has reached a high of $7.63.
Trade approach: A movement as big as 7.55% is a significantly bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if MGI maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $7.55 on 15-Jan-2021. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if MONEYGRAM INTERNATIONAL closes at or above $7.40 on 15-Jan-2021. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 52.11% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.