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Quantchabot has detected a promising Bull Put Spread trade opportunity for AMERICAN EXPRESS (AXP) for the 16-Apr-2021 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
AXP was recently trading at $135.93 and has an implied volatility of 34.27% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for AXP expiring on 16-Apr-2021, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $135.95-$154.80 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 62.85%.
52 week high: AMERICAN EXPRESS recently reached a new 52-week high at $136.85. AXP had traded in the range $67.00-$133.36 over the past year.
Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week high is a bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if AXP maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $135.93 on 16-Apr-2021. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if AMERICAN EXPRESS closes at or above $135.80 on 16-Apr-2021. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 50.35% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.