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Quantchabot has detected a promising Bull Put Spread trade opportunity for ARCHER-DANIELS MIDLAND (ADM) for the 16-Apr-2021 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
ADM was recently trading at $56.40 and has an implied volatility of 26.42% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for ADM expiring on 16-Apr-2021, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $56.41-$62.34 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 38.46%.
52 week high: ARCHER-DANIELS MIDLAND recently reached a new 52-week high at $57.25. ADM had traded in the range $28.92-$56.91 over the past year.
Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week high is a bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if ADM maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $56.40 on 16-Apr-2021. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if ARCHER-DANIELS MIDLAND closes at or above $56.30 on 16-Apr-2021. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 50.77% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.