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Quantchabot has detected a promising Bull Put Spread trade opportunity for BANK OF MONTREAL (BMO) for the 21-May-2021 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
BMO was recently trading at $90.86 and has an implied volatility of 16.36% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for BMO expiring on 21-May-2021, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $89.81-$95.20 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 33.20%.
52 week high: BANK OF MONTREAL recently reached a new 52-week high at $90.91. BMO had traded in the range $43.26-$90.66 over the past year.
Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week high is a bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if BMO maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $90.86 on 21-May-2021. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if BANK OF MONTREAL closes at or above $88.75 on 21-May-2021. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 58.10% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.