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Quantchabot has detected a promising Bull Call Spread trade opportunity for MICROSOFT (MSFT) for the 23-Apr-2021 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
MSFT was recently trading at $248.19 and has an implied volatility of 22.46% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for MSFT expiring on 23-Apr-2021, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $248.20-$261.04 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 70.72%.
52 week high: MICROSOFT recently reached a new 52-week high at $248.27. MSFT had traded in the range $150.36-$246.13 over the past year.
Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week high is a bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if MSFT maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $248.19 on 23-Apr-2021. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if MICROSOFT closes at or above $247.85 on 23-Apr-2021. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 51.13% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.