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Quantchabot has detected a promising Bull Call Spread trade opportunity for LENNAR (LEN) for the 21-May-2021 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
LEN was recently trading at $105.45 and has an implied volatility of 33.03% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for LEN expiring on 21-May-2021, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $105.46-$118.48 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 70.31%.
52 week high: LENNAR recently reached a new 52-week high at $106.24. LEN had traded in the range $35.69-$104.53 over the past year.
Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week high is a bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if LEN maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $105.45 on 21-May-2021. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if LENNAR closes at or above $105.30 on 21-May-2021. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 50.53% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.