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Quantchabot has detected a promising Bull Call Spread trade opportunity for BLACKSTONE GROUP INC CLASS A (BX) for the 16-Apr-2021 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
BX was recently trading at $76.23 and has an implied volatility of 20.07% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for BX expiring on 16-Apr-2021, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $76.23-$78.58 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 54.05%.
52 week high: BLACKSTONE GROUP INC CLASS A recently reached a new 52-week high at $76.26. BX had traded in the range $45.05-$76.25 over the past year.
Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week high is a bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if BX maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $76.23 on 16-Apr-2021. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if BLACKSTONE GROUP INC CLASS A closes at or above $76.20 on 16-Apr-2021. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 50.55% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.