Big Loser Alert: Trading today’s -7.4% move in ANTERO RESOURCES CORP $AR

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Quantchabot has detected a promising Bear Call Spread trade opportunity for ANTERO RESOURCES CORP (AR) for the 16-Apr-2021 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

AR was recently trading at $9.51 and has an implied volatility of 68.65% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for AR expiring on 16-Apr-2021, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $8.57-$9.51 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 27.70%.

Big -7.45% Change: After closing the last trading session at $10.27, ANTERO RESOURCES CORP opened today at $10.10 and has reached a low of $9.41.

Trade approach: A movement as big as -7.45% is a significantly bearish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if AR maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bullish side of $9.51 on 16-Apr-2021. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.

Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if ANTERO RESOURCES CORP closes at or below $9.55 on 16-Apr-2021. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 51.80% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.