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Quantchabot has detected a promising Bull Put Spread trade opportunity for CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL (COF) for the 18-Jun-2021 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
COF was recently trading at $149.91 and has an implied volatility of 29.56% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for COF expiring on 18-Jun-2021, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $149.93-$166.57 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 61.26%.
52 week high: CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL recently reached a new 52-week high at $151.84. COF had traded in the range $51.91-$149.67 over the past year.
Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week high is a bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if COF maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $149.91 on 18-Jun-2021. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL closes at or above $148.10 on 18-Jun-2021. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 54.64% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.