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Quantchabot has detected a promising Bull Put Spread trade opportunity for APOLLO GLOBAL MANAGEMENT (APO) for the 29-Oct-2021 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
APO was recently trading at $67.65 and has an implied volatility of 27.48% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for APO expiring on 29-Oct-2021, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $67.65-$71.57 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 48.83%.
52 week high: APOLLO GLOBAL MANAGEMENT recently reached a new 52-week high at $67.65. APO had traded in the range $36.35-$66.81 over the past year.
Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week high is a bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if APO maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $67.65 on 29-Oct-2021. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if APOLLO GLOBAL MANAGEMENT closes at or above $67.50 on 29-Oct-2021. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 51.60% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.