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Quantchabot has detected a promising Bull Put Spread trade opportunity for MARATHON PETROLEUM (MPC) for the 29-Oct-2021 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
MPC was recently trading at $65.84 and has an implied volatility of 29.10% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for MPC expiring on 29-Oct-2021, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $65.84-$69.90 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 61.68%.
52 week high: MARATHON PETROLEUM recently reached a new 52-week high at $66.38. MPC had traded in the range $26.77-$66.14 over the past year.
Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week high is a bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if MPC maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $65.84 on 29-Oct-2021. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if MARATHON PETROLEUM closes at or above $65.73 on 29-Oct-2021. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 51.14% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.