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Quantchabot has detected a promising Bull Put Spread trade opportunity for PRINCIPAL FINANCIAL (PFG) for the 21-Jan-2022 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
PFG was recently trading at $73.38 and has an implied volatility of 24.88% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for PFG expiring on 21-Jan-2022, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $72.75-$80.36 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 38.97%.
52 week high: PRINCIPAL FINANCIAL recently reached a new 52-week high at $73.82. PFG had traded in the range $46.81-$73.14 over the past year.
Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week high is a bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if PFG maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $73.38 on 21-Jan-2022. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if PRINCIPAL FINANCIAL closes at or above $71.90 on 21-Jan-2022. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 54.71% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.