Big Loser Alert: Trading today’s -16.9% move in AUTODESK $ADSK

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Quantchabot has detected a promising Bear Put Spread trade opportunity for AUTODESK (ADSK) for the 21-Jan-2022 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

ADSK was recently trading at $252.71 and has an implied volatility of 39.25% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for ADSK expiring on 21-Jan-2022, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $216.04-$252.75 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 70.52%.

Big -16.87% Change: After closing the last trading session at $304.00, AUTODESK opened today at $262.88 and has reached a low of $250.00.

Trade approach: A movement as big as -16.87% is a significantly bearish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if ADSK maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bullish side of $252.71 on 21-Jan-2022. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.

Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if AUTODESK closes at or below $253.85 on 21-Jan-2022. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 51.11% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.