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Quantchabot has detected a promising Bull Call Spread trade opportunity for EXXON MOBIL (XOM) for the 28-Jan-2022 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
XOM was recently trading at $68.29 and has an implied volatility of 27.29% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for XOM expiring on 28-Jan-2022, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $68.29-$72.60 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 72.02%.
52 week high: EXXON MOBIL recently reached a new 52-week high at $69.17. XOM had traded in the range $44.29-$68.48 over the past year.
Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week high is a bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if XOM maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $68.29 on 28-Jan-2022. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if EXXON MOBIL closes at or above $68.12 on 28-Jan-2022. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 51.64% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.