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Quantchabot has detected a promising Bear Call Spread trade opportunity for QUALTRICS INTERNATIONAL INC. CLASS A COMMON STOCK (XM) for the 21-Jan-2022 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
XM was recently trading at $29.79 and has an implied volatility of 53.26% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for XM expiring on 21-Jan-2022, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $27.25-$29.79 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 20.48%.
52 week low: QUALTRICS INTERNATIONAL INC. CLASS A COMMON STOCK recently reached a new 52-week low at $28.57. XM had traded in the range $28.89-$57.28 over the past year.
Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week low is a bearish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if XM maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bullish side of $29.79 on 21-Jan-2022. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if QUALTRICS INTERNATIONAL INC. CLASS A COMMON STOCK closes at or below $30.85 on 21-Jan-2022. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 65.23% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.