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Quantchabot has detected a promising Bull Call Spread trade opportunity for PETROLEO BRASILEIRO SA (PBR) for the 18-Feb-2022 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
PBR was recently trading at $12.39 and has an implied volatility of 45.64% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for PBR expiring on 18-Feb-2022, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $12.39-$14.31 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 49.04%.
52 week high: PETROLEO BRASILEIRO SA recently reached a new 52-week high at $12.46. PBR had traded in the range $7.06-$12.38 over the past year.
Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week high is a bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if PBR maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $12.39 on 18-Feb-2022. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if PETROLEO BRASILEIRO SA closes at or above $12.26 on 18-Feb-2022. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 52.93% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.