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Quantchabot has detected a promising Bull Put Spread trade opportunity for KB HOME (KBH) for the 18-Feb-2022 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
KBH was recently trading at $48.10 and has an implied volatility of 36.14% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for KBH expiring on 18-Feb-2022, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $48.11-$53.92 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 72.20%.
Big 13.51% Change: After closing the last trading session at $42.38, KB HOME opened today at $46.96 and has reached a high of $49.23.
Trade approach: A movement as big as 13.51% is a significantly bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if KBH maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $48.10 on 18-Feb-2022. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if KB HOME closes at or above $48.10 on 18-Feb-2022. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 50.05% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.