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Quantchabot has detected a promising Bull Put Spread trade opportunity for MOSAIC (MOS) for the 4-Feb-2022 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
MOS was recently trading at $43.12 and has an implied volatility of 38.75% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for MOS expiring on 4-Feb-2022, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $43.13-$47.36 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 55.10%.
52 week high: MOSAIC recently reached a new 52-week high at $43.84. MOS had traded in the range $25.63-$43.24 over the past year.
Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week high is a bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if MOS maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $43.12 on 4-Feb-2022. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if MOSAIC closes at or above $42.90 on 4-Feb-2022. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 52.24% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.