Synthetic Long Discount Alert: PETROLEO BRASILEIRO SA $PBR trading at a 13.82% discount for the 20-Jan-2023 expiration

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Quantchabot has detected a promising Synthetic Long Stock trade opportunity for PETROLEO BRASILEIRO SA (PBR) for the 20-Jan-2023 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

PBR was recently trading at $12.88 and has an implied volatility of 54.23% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for PBR expiring on 20-Jan-2023, there is a 68.28% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $8.21-$20.63 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 66.71%.

Upside potential: This synthetic long position offers the same potential benefits and liabilities as a long stock position, but at a discount due to the significant premium at-the-money puts are trading at over calls. In this case, the long call position is opened at a strike of $12.00, which is already $0.88 in the money. An out-of-the-money put at the same strike is sold to finance the call, resulting in a net credit of $0.90 per share. The final position can be considered as having a discount of $1.78 per share over the underlying price of $12.88 for a 13.82% total.

Downside risk: This discount is generally a sign of the stock facing considerable short pressure, and may indicate that the stock has become hard to borrow. However, if you have a long view of the underlying over this period, it could be a good opportunity to benefit from the upside at a major discount.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.