Big Loser Alert: Trading today’s -8.0% move in CARVANA CO $CVNA

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Quantchabot has detected a promising Bear Call Spread trade opportunity for CARVANA CO (CVNA) for the 15-Jul-2022 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

CVNA was recently trading at $55.62 and has an implied volatility of 112.60% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for CVNA expiring on 15-Jul-2022, there is a 34.16% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $33.57-$55.67 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 37.36%.

Big -8.01% Change: After closing the last trading session at $60.47, CARVANA CO opened today at $58.01 and has reached a low of $54.90.

Trade approach: A movement as big as -8.01% is a significantly bearish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if CVNA maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bullish side of $55.62 on 15-Jul-2022. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.

Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if CARVANA CO closes at or below $56.30 on 15-Jul-2022. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 50.89% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.