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Quantchabot has detected a promising Covered Put trade opportunity for ISHARES MSCI BRAZIL ETF (EWZ) for the 15-Dec-2023 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
EWZ was recently trading at $31.89 and has an implied volatility of 36.30% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for EWZ expiring on 15-Dec-2023, there is a 31.28% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $20.85-$31.89 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 1465.31%.
Trending on StockTwits: StockTwits® is a financial communications platform for the financial and investing community. On their site, ISHARES MSCI BRAZIL ETF was recently trending, indicating that breaking news and/or market activity has significantly impacted sentiment toward the stock. This movement can be interpretted as a sign of more near-term price movement for the underlying.
Trade approach: The recent sentiment change in EWZ on StockTwits appears to be significantly negative, indicating that the stock is likely to follow in that direction for investors trading on sentiment. As a result, a bearish strategy could prove effective if the sentiment ultimately turns out to drive trading.
Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if ISHARES MSCI BRAZIL ETF closed at or below $47.59 on 15-Dec-2023. Based on our analysis, there is a 78.91% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.