Quantchabot has detected a promising Long Risk Reversal trade opportunity for STANLEY BLACK & DECKER (SWK) for the 20-Jan-2023 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
SWK was recently trading at $109.96 and has an implied volatility of 39.08% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for SWK expiring on 20-Jan-2023, there is a 35.74% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $109.96-$150.97 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 85.59%.
Trending on StockTwits: StockTwits® is a financial communications platform for the financial and investing community. On their site, STANLEY BLACK & DECKER was recently trending, indicating that breaking news and/or market activity has significantly impacted sentiment toward the stock. This movement can be interpretted as a sign of more near-term price movement for the underlying.
Trade approach: The recent sentiment change in SWK on StockTwits appears to be significantly positive, indicating that the stock is likely to follow in that direction for investors trading on sentiment. As a result, a bullish strategy could prove effective if the sentiment ultimately turns out to drive trading.
Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if STANLEY BLACK & DECKER closed at or above $107.80 on 20-Jan-2023. Based on our analysis, there is a 54.18% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.