Quantchabot has detected a promising Covered Put trade opportunity for DIREXION DAILY 20+ YR TRSY BUL (TMF) for the 18-Nov-2022 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
TMF was recently trading at $11.16 and has an implied volatility of 68.39% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for TMF expiring on 18-Nov-2022, there is a 33.48% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $7.17-$11.16 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 164.29%.
Trending on StockTwits: StockTwits® is a financial communications platform for the financial and investing community. On their site, DIREXION DAILY 20+ YR TRSY BUL was recently trending, indicating that breaking news and/or market activity has significantly impacted sentiment toward the stock. This movement can be interpretted as a sign of more near-term price movement for the underlying.
Trade approach: The recent sentiment change in TMF on StockTwits appears to be significantly negative, indicating that the stock is likely to follow in that direction for investors trading on sentiment. As a result, a bearish strategy could prove effective if the sentiment ultimately turns out to drive trading.
Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if DIREXION DAILY 20+ YR TRSY BUL closed at or below $16.46 on 18-Nov-2022. Based on our analysis, there is a 80.16% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.