Quantchabot has detected a promising Covered Put trade opportunity for INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL (IVR) for the 21-Oct-2022 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
IVR was recently trading at $10.65 and has an implied volatility of 72.58% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for IVR expiring on 21-Oct-2022, there is a 33.55% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $6.97-$10.65 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 191.04%.
Trending on StockTwits: StockTwits® is a financial communications platform for the financial and investing community. On their site, INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL was recently trending, indicating that breaking news and/or market activity has significantly impacted sentiment toward the stock. This movement can be interpretted as a sign of more near-term price movement for the underlying.
Trade approach: The recent sentiment change in IVR on StockTwits appears to be moderately negative, indicating that the stock is likely to follow in that direction for investors trading on sentiment. As a result, a bearish strategy could prove effective if the sentiment ultimately turns out to drive trading.
Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL closed at or below $15.64 on 21-Oct-2022. Based on our analysis, there is a 80.98% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.