Quantchabot has detected a promising Bear Call Spread trade opportunity for NXP SEMICONDUCTOR (NXPI) for the 22-Jul-2022 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
NXPI was recently trading at $157.88 and has an implied volatility of 45.15% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for NXPI expiring on 22-Jul-2022, there is a 34.20% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $138.64-$158.02 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 24.89%.
52 week low: NXP SEMICONDUCTOR recently reached a new 52-week low at $155.72. NXPI had traded in the range $156.10-$239.91 over the past year.
Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week low is a bearish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if NXPI maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bullish side of $157.88 on 22-Jul-2022. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if NXP SEMICONDUCTOR closes at or below $158.10 on 22-Jul-2022. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 50.15% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.