Quantchabot has detected a promising Bear Put Spread trade opportunity for AMGEN (AMGN) for the 12-Aug-2022 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
AMGN was recently trading at $247.14 and has an implied volatility of 30.40% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for AMGN expiring on 12-Aug-2022, there is a 33.91% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $235.86-$247.14 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 72.98%.
Trending on StockTwits: StockTwits® is a financial communications platform for the financial and investing community. On their site, AMGEN was recently trending, indicating that breaking news and/or market activity has significantly impacted sentiment toward the stock. This movement can be interpretted as a sign of more near-term price movement for the underlying.
Trade approach: The recent sentiment change in AMGN on StockTwits appears to be moderately negative, indicating that the stock is likely to follow in that direction for investors trading on sentiment. As a result, a bearish strategy could prove effective if the sentiment ultimately turns out to drive trading.
Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if AMGEN closed at or below $247.25 on 12-Aug-2022. Based on our analysis, there is a 49.93% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.